Weekend Herald

Signs of life in eurozone economy

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Europe’s economy perked up slightly at the start of the year, recording 0.3 per cent growth in the March quarter compared to the last three months of 2023 as the inflation burden on consumers eased and the stagnating German economy, the continent’s biggest, started to show modest signs of life.

The 20-country eurozone recorded its strongest performanc­e since the third quarter of 2022 and improved on shrinkage of

0.1 per cent in each of the last two quarters of 2023, according to official figures from EU statistica­l agency Eurostat.

The economy had been held back by high inflation that has sapped consumer purchasing power, and by an energy price spike related to Russia cutting off most supplies of natural gas.

Those headwinds have eased as energy prices have fallen and as inflation fell to

2.4 per cent in April. But record high interest rates from the European Central Bank aimed at driving down inflation added another hurdle by raising the cost of credit for businesses and consumers.

Inflation is now not far from the goal of

2 per cent set by the European Central Bank, leading to speculatio­n it may cut its benchmark rate in June from its current record high of 4 per cent.

Germany, whose economic sluggishne­ss has provoked ongoing debate about how to restore the economy to growth, expanded

0.2 per cent in the first three months of the year after shrinking 0.5 per cent at the end of last year.

The uptick is welcome but is unlikely to end concerns about long-term issues plaguing Germany, such as excessive bureaucrac­y, shortage of skilled workers, insufficie­nt investment in infrastruc­ture such as rail networks and high-speed internet, and lagging introducti­on of digital technology in business and government.

“Germany’s well-known structural weaknesses will not disappear overnight and will limit the pace of any rebound this year,” said Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING bank.

France, the second-largest eurozone economy, turned in 0.2 per cent growth while Spain was one of the leading performers with 0.7 per cent. The overall eurozone figure was pushed upward by a 1.1 per cent gain in Ireland, whose economic statistics reflect the multinatio­nal corporatio­ns that are headquarte­red there.

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