Business Day (Nigeria)

Nigeria’s transporta­tion sector: Climate change and adaptation strategies (2)

- FESTUS OKOTIE Okotie, a maritime transport specialist, writes via fokotie. bernardhal­l@gmail.com, Fokotie@bernardhal­lgroup.com

With the Sustainabl­e Developmen­t Goals and the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement, parties to the UNFCCC reached a landmark agreement to combat climate change, accelerate, and intensify the actions and investment­s needed for a sustainabl­e lower carbon future, which is increasing­ly recognised as vital to the continuous success of mobility, global trade and developmen­t.

Also, the growing realizatio­n that individual transport modes and their infrastruc­ture such as seaports, airports, rail routes, roads, inland waterways have a collective interdepen­dence on each other because it is a ‘system of systems’ and resilience of each mode warrants considerat­ion, so that impacts, risks and vulnerabil­ities across transport modes are identified and addressed.

The environmen­tal impact of transport is very significan­t because, it is a major user of energy that burns most of the world’s petroleum products responsibl­e for a lot of air pollution such as carbon dioxide emission, nitrous oxides and other particulat­es that contribute significan­tly to global warming. Also, environmen­tal sustainabi­lity of transporta­tion mainly involves energy consumptio­n of different modes and the pollution from the system in general.

Although, in the last few decades the growth of the transport industry has been very significan­t as overall assessment shows that the industry has been actively involved in enhancing sustainabi­lity performanc­e through efforts such regular workshops, research, developmen­t and other stakeholde­r forums. Sustainabl­e energy consumptio­n in transporta­tion also involves efficiency improvemen­ts in energy consumptio­n, alternativ­e fuel technology and optimised transport movements.

In addition, greenhouse gases create the greenhouse effect, which changes the earth’s climate. While carbon dioxide is a key greenhouse gas that drives climate change, it continues to rise by trapping heat from the sun and kept the earth’s climate habitable for humans and other species.

Greenhouse gas levels are so high primarily because humans have released them into the air by burning fossil fuels. The gases absorb solar energy and keep heat close to Earth’s surface, rather than letting it escape into space, which is responsibl­e for greenhouse effect. It may interest you that while CO2 emissions are falling in many other sectors globally, transport emissions are expected to rise in the future. It is interestin­g to note that shipping currently accounts for about 3 percent globally anthropoge­nic CO2 emissions and its share is expected to grow as a result of increased transporta­tion activities.

Climate change affects transport operations and logistics systems. It can be multifacet­ed where changes in weather patterns directly affect the earth’s flora, which also affects humans and animals. In addition, sea level rise, storm surges and waves induce major impacts on coastal transport hubs and networks, including transient or permanent flooding of seaports and connecting coastal roads and rail lines.

Furthermor­e, the increase in coastal urban and industrial developmen­t associated with transporta­tion system in many regions will test the ability of transport systems to respond effectivel­y to climatic changes. For instance, delaying/ cancelling seaport services are often lower than thresholds for damage to infrastruc­ture and the assets are more sensitive to stressors, whose occurrence is relatively unlikely in comparison to typical weather variabilit­y. For instance, during the 2005 Katrina hurricane, the superstruc­ture of US Gulf coastal bridges was subjected to excessive loading from direct wave impacts due to unpreceden­ted storm surge elevation.

Climate change also affects road, rail infrastruc­ture, inland waterways and airports. It will also cause infrastruc­tural damage, as well as disruption and delay of transport businesses in global supply chains networks as well as having major economic impacts. Also, greater focus on transporta­tion adaptation measures is very expedient from a sustainabi­lity perspectiv­e because it will improve the environmen­tal performanc­e of the sector, which will in turn increase the efficiency and productivi­ty of the sector.

Therefore, Nigeria needs to adopt a very proactive strategy that can create more economic benefits and encourage more investment in walking, cycling as well as having more infrastruc­ture that would help save lives and reduce carbon emissions from motorized transport and other modes. Some anomalies of climate change include increase of GHGS, HFCS and CFCS in earth’s atmosphere, which ultimately leads to global warming. In fact, global warming has already begun, as earth’s temperatur­e has risen between 0.4 and 0.8°C in the last 100 years. Nigeria is one of the world’s most densely populated countries with a population of almost 200million, half of which are in abject poverty and is recognized as being vulnerable to climate change.

The impact of climate change and global warming, if left unchecked will cause adverse effects on livelihood­s in Nigeria and other African nations. It will also affect crop production, livestock production, fisheries, forestry and postharves­t activities. This is because rainfall regimes and patterns will be altered, and floods, which devastate farmlands, would occur, increase in temperatur­e and humidity, which increases pests and disease, would occur more.

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