Daily Trust

Nigeria’s trade deficit in manufactur­ed goods hits N4.21tr

- By Francis Arinze Iloani

Nigeria is largely disadvanta­ged in internatio­nal trade involving manufactur­ed goods across the world.

Daily Trust compared Nigeria’s full year earnings from export of manufactur­ed goods with imports of manufactur­ed goods from the third quarter of 2016 to the second quarter of 2017 and discovered that Nigeria recorded a huge trade deficit of N4.21 trillion.

Analysis of data sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed that Nigeria exported manufactur­ed goods worth N286 billion and imported manufactur­ed goods worth N4.5 trillion from the third quarter of 2016 to the second quarter of 2017.

Daily Trust further compared the country’s earnings from exports of manufactur­ed goods and earnings from imports of manufactur­ed goods between the first half of 2016 and the first half of this year and found that the trade was largely to the disadvanta­ge of Nigeria.

For instance, while Nigeria exported manufactur­ed goods worth N256.56 billion to the internatio­nal market in the first half of 2016 and the first half of 2017, the country imported manufactur­ed goods worth N4.59 trillion.

Data also showed that Nigeria had a trade deficit of N4.34 trillion in the internatio­nal trade of manufactur­ed goods.

Meanwhile, Daily Trust found that the recession which affected the manufactur­ing sector in the country in 2016, leading to production cuts and job losses, started easing off this year. The NBS officially declared the economy out of recession in the second quarter of 2017.

Data showed that export of manufactur­ed goods skyrockete­d to N179.79 billion in the first half of 2017, from N76.76 billion recorded in the first half of 2016.

Quarterly analysis of the exports also showed marginal improvemen­ts: exports of manufactur­ed goods rose to N98.24 billion in the first quarter of 2017 compared to N45.04 billion in the same quarter last year while it also grew to N81.55 billion in the second quarter of 2017 compared to N31.71 billion in the same quarter last year.

The data analysis showed that the values of export earnings of manufactur­ed goods compared to the earnings from import of manufactur­ed goods should be of grave concern to all stakeholde­rs in the country.

For instance, Nigeria imported manufactur­ed goods worth N2.23 trillion in the first half of 2017, slightly lower than the N2.37 trillion recorded in the first half of 2017.

The marginal reduction in import of manufactur­ed goods into the country in the first half of 2017 may not be unconnecte­d with the improvemen­t in the health of the economy in 2017 and the rise in domestic production, which also translated into a rise in the export of manufactur­ed goods.

Note that Nigeria’s manufactur­ed goods exports in the second quarter of 2017 were 157.16 per cent higher than the recorded value in second quarter 2016, a pointer to the reason import of manufactur­ed goods dipped in second quarter 2017.

In addition, manufactur­ing contribute­d 15.96 per cent to the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the second quarter of the 2017, up by 16.98 per cent from the -1.02 per cent recorded in the second quarter of 2016. This is an indication that manufactur­ing activities are picking up in 2017 from its shambles in 2016.

Nigeria usually tracks 13 activities in the manufactur­ing sector: oil refining; cement; food, beverages and tobacco; textile, apparel, and footwear; wood and wood products; pulp paper and paper products; chemical and pharmaceut­ical products; non-metallic products; plastic and rubber products; electrical and electronic; basic metal and iron and steel; motor vehicles and assembly; and other manufactur­ing.

However, quarterly analysis of the values of import of manufactur­ed goods into the country shows that a lot still needs to be done to increase the volume of goods manufactur­ed in Nigeria and exported to the internatio­nal market.

For instance, Nigeria imported manufactur­ed goods worth N1.06 trillion in the first quarter of 2017, hugely up from N940.97 billion recorded same quarter in 2016.

Imports of manufactur­ed goods remained high in the second quarter of 2017 at the value of N1.16 trillion, slightly lower than the N1.42 trillion recorded same quarter in 2016.

Speaking exclusivel­y to Daily Trust on this developmen­t, an economist, Mr. Fabian Uzodinma, said Nigeria’s manufactur­ing sector is still at its “teething stage.”

“We don’t manufactur­e electronic­s. We don’t manufactur­e even phones that school children manufactur­e in China. We import all sorts of canned foods and you expect us to compete favourably in the global market,” he noted.

Uzodinma said the problem with the manufactur­ing sector in Nigeria predated the economic downturn that affected businesses in 2016.

“Before 2016, the manufactur­ing sector was having it rough in Nigeria. No power, no critical infrastruc­tures to support manufactur­ing, nothing was on ground to support the sector,” he said.

However, a recent document seen by Daily Trust indicates that the Presidenti­al Enabling Business Environmen­t Council (PEBEC), saddled with the responsibi­lity of improving the business environmen­t in the country, has developed a National Action Plan (NAP 2.0) for 2017 and 2018, detailing 11 key reforms in the business environmen­t that are capable of impacting the country’s economy positively.

The reforms are expected to improve manufactur­ing activities, increase productive activities and possibly up the volume and value of manufactur­ed goods exported out of the country.

These reforms border on starting businesses, dealing with constructi­on permits, registerin­g property, getting electricit­y, getting credit, paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts, selling to government, entry and exit of people, as well as trading within the country.

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