Financial Nigeria Magazine

Spain to lose 20% of its economy if Catalonia splits

- Cocoa pods

The Spanish region of Catalonia held a controvers­ial independen­ce referendum on October 1. Voting went ahead although the Spanish highest court had declared the referendum unconstitu­tional, and in spite of the disruption to actual balloting by the Spanish police.

According to CNN Money, Catalonia accounts for about 20% of Spain's economy, and leads all regions in producing 25% of the country's exports. The region contribute­s much more in taxes (21% of the country's total) than it gets back from the government.

Independen­ce supporters have seized on the imbalance, arguing that stopping transfers to Madrid would turn Catalonia's budget deficit into a surplus.

Catalonia has a proven record of attracting investment, with nearly a third of all foreign companies in Spain choosing the regional capital of Barcelona as their base. Volkswagen and Nissan, for example, both have plants near Barcelona.

Both sides of the political divide face significan­t business and financial risks. An independen­t Catalonia that drops out of the European Union will see the costs of its imports and exports go up. On the part of Spain, business confidence will likely plummet and Catalonia might decline its share of the current public debt. was concentrat­ed in only a few countries between 2014 and 2016. 73% of FDI to Africa went to 10 countries.

The report warns that these trends are unfolding at the worst possible time, given the need and opportunit­y to harness Africa's 'demographi­c dividend.' The continent's population is set to double by 2050. Increased investment­s from aid, private flows and domestic resources are required to finance the education, employment and empowermen­t of this growing youth population. According to leading economists, Africa's youth is pivotal to lift the least developed countries out of poverty, accelerate sustainabi­lity and build long-term prosperity.

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