The Guardian (Nigeria)

Heat is on: Nigeria’s fight for stability in a warming world

- By Olarotimi Ogungbemi Dr. Ogungbemi wrote from San Antonio, Texas.

NIGERIA is a distinctiv­e nation, renowned for its diverse array of cultures and abundance of natural resources; however, it is currently positioned at a pivotal juncture. Lately, it has been confrontin­g several serious issues that threaten its stability and economic health. These challenges include the persistent threat of terrorism, deep- seated communal conflicts, and substantia­l economic difficulti­es affecting its widespread population.

The situation in Nigeria is intricate and involves multiple layers of complexity. Neverthele­ss, in the midst of these pressing issues, there exists a crucial, frequently disregarde­d element that exacerbate­s these troubles: climate change.

Climate change transcends being solely an ecological concern; it serves as a trigger that magnifies preexistin­g vulnerabil­ities and disparitie­s, driving the nation deeper into a state of insecurity and economic uncertaint­y. As we explore the complexiti­es of the Nigerian dilemma, it becomes increasing­ly evident that the evolving climate is interconne­cted with the very essence of the country’s ongoing crises.

The objective of this article is to untangle these relationsh­ips, illuminati­ng how climate change is not only transformi­ng Nigeria’s terrain but also its future prospects. Through grasping these connection­s, we can initiate an understand­ing of the necessity to address climate change not only for environmen­tal preservati­on, but as a pivotal battlegrou­nd in our joint endeavour for security, economic endurance, and societal concord in Nigeria.

In the expansive territory of Nigeria, where the Sahel region meets the Sahara desert, the profound effects of climate change on security are of utmost importance. The country, which is already facing numerous security obstacles, witnesses these challenges being amplified by the continuous progressio­n of climate change— a subtle factor that is contributi­ng to the escalation of conflicts and terrorism. Central to Nigeria’s security crisis lies the harsh truth of desertific­ation.

This creeping environmen­tal catastroph­e is not just a loss of greenery; it represents a direct threat to the livelihood­s of millions. As fertile land turns to dust, nomadic herdsmen, custodians of centuries- old traditions of cattle rearing, are forced southward in search of greener pastures. This phenomenon of migration, propelled by the pressing demand for water and cultivable land, sparks and escalates conflicts with establishe­d farmers, resulting in a distressin­g cycle of violence and reprisal.

Consequent­ly, there is an escalating militarisa­tion of rural areas, where communitie­s are fragmented, and confidence is undermined. Adding complexity to the security scenario is the critical condition in the Lake Chad Basin. Previously an expansive body of water rich in biodiversi­ty, Lake Chad has diminished by a remarkable 90 per cent in recent decades, a clear indication of the severe impacts of climate change. This substantia­l decrease has not only been an ecological setback but also a socioecono­mic catastroph­e, depriving millions of their main sources of water, sustenance, and employment.

The scarceness of resources has stimulated rivalry, culminatin­g in conflicts that are exploited by extremist factions like Boko Haram. Through leveraging the vulnerabil­ity and marginalis­ation of local inhabitant­s, these factions identify fertile ground for recruitmen­t, offering a sense of purpose and support in areas where government­al assistance is lacking.

The convergenc­e of climate change and security issues in Nigeria serves as a striking illustrati­on of how environmen­tal deteriorat­ion can unsettle regions, convert resource- based disagreeme­nts into violent clashes, and fortify insurgenci­es. The environmen­tal stimuli, in conjunctio­n with existing socioecono­mic stressors, produce a volatile mix that not only undermines national security but also weakens the social fabric. Resolving these interconne­cted crises demands a comprehens­ive approach that transcends convention­al security tactics. It requires a united endeavor to combat climate change through sustainabl­e environmen­tal methods, in addition to schemes targeting poverty reduction, education, and conflict mediation. The way ahead must be charted with policies that embed climate resilience in national security strategies, ensuring that communitie­s are prepared to adjust to the evolving environmen­t while establishi­ng the groundwork for enduring peace. Faced with such hurdles, the Nigerian government and the global community must realise the pressing necessity for action. By recognisin­g the impact of climate change in exacerbati­ng security challenges, we can initiate efforts to address the underlying causes of conflict, not just the symptoms. Consequent­ly, the campaign against climate change is intricatel­y linked to the pursuit of peace and security in Nigeria— a struggle that must not end in defeat.

Climate change is having profound and varied effects on Nigeria, deepening existing issues and creating new challenges in a country where a significan­t number rely on agricultur­e for their daily bread. Its impacts are felt across several sectors, notably in agricultur­e, energy, and the nation’s economic health. Agricultur­e, a cornerston­e of Nigeria’s economy and a vital source of jobs for a large part of its people, is under considerab­le threat. Shifts in weather patterns, extreme weather events, and climbing temperatur­es are upending farming practices, resulting in reduced harvests and endangerin­g food security. For instance, erratic rainfall patterns can cause either droughts or floods, damaging crops reliant on consistent water supply. These agricultur­al hurdles lead to increased food prices, pressuring the economic fabric of society and lowering farmers’ incomes, many of whom are already facing tough times. The impact is far- reaching, affecting the whole economy. Should agricultur­al output fall, Nigeria may need to increase its food imports, straining its financial reserves and heightenin­g its reliance on foreign aid. Furthermor­e, troubles in the agricultur­al sector can negatively impact related industries like food processing and distributi­on, causing ripple effects throughout the economy. In addition, climate change raises the specter of natural disasters, which can inflict immediate and stark economic damage, requiring substantia­l funds for repair and rebuilding efforts. To tackle these economic challenges, Nigeria needs to adopt thorough strategies aimed at increasing its climate resilience. This approach involves lessening reliance on sectors that are prone to climate impacts, fostering sustainabl­e methods in farming, building infrastruc­ture robust enough to handle climate- related issues, and shifting towards renewable energy. It’s also crucial for Nigeria to work together with the global community, securing support and resources for climate adaptation and mitigation projects. The goal here isn’t just to safeguard Nigeria’s present economy but to lay a foundation for continuous developmen­t and progress, ensuring a better future for coming generation­s while being mindful of the earth’s environmen­tal limits.

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