THISDAY

Report Lists Nigeria among ‘Volatile Growers’ Economies

- Ugo Aliogo

McKinsey, one of the leading global profession­al services in a new report obtained yesterday has listed Nigeria among the ‘volatile growers’ economies.

The firm stated this in a report titled: “Outperform­ers: High Growth Emerging Economies and the Companies that Propel Them.”

Other countries listed under this category were Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Brazil, Greece, Guatemala, Honduras, Iran, Jordan, Kenya, Mexico and Paraguay.

The report studied 71 emerging economies and 18 achieved rapid and sustained growth.

Out of the 18, it listed seven ‘long-term outperform­ers’ to include China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand.

On the other hand, 11 economies that were categorise­d as ‘recent outperform­ers’ were Azerbaijan, Belarus, Cambodia, Ethiopia, India, Kazakhstan, Laos, Myanmar, Turkmenist­an, Uzbekistan and Vietnam.

Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures in the second quarter 2018, recorded a growth rate of 1.50 per cent (year-on-year).

“sub-Saharan Africa is the region with the second-lowest average per capita GDP, at about $1,750, but several countries have made great strides in recent years. Labour productivi­ty growth at 2.5 per cent annually between 2010 and 2015—the highest rate outside Asia—and government effectiven­ess registered significan­t improvemen­t in countries such as Rwanda and Côte d’Ivoire.

“For now, only one of the 15 countries— Ethiopia—ranks among the recent outperform­ers. In general, connectedn­ess to other regions is poor and exports from countries in subSaharan Africa lack diversity. For example, more than 90 per cent of goods exported from Nigeria and Angola are oil-related. Improving infrastruc­ture and continuing to build out government effectiven­ess to attract foreign investment remain important opportunit­ies for the region.

“Sub-Saharan Africa can focus on more sophistica­ted exports and better governance This is the second poorest of our regions, with GDP per capita of about $1,750, or only about one-seventh that of East and Southeast Asia and of Central and Eastern Europe. Of the 15 countries we analysed in the region, only one is an outperform­er, Ethiopia, which has grown at more than five percent a year over the past 20 years.

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