THISDAY

Report: 5G to Reach 1.5bn Subscripti­ons in 2024

- Emma Okonji TELECOM

The latest edition of Ericsson’s Mobility Report has projected that 5G is expected to reach more than 40 per cent global population coverage with 1.5 billion subscripti­ons for enhanced mobile broadband by the end of 2024.

According to the report, this would make 5G the fastest generation of cellular technology to be rolled out on a global scale.

Nigeria, which is part of the global population to experience 5G growth, last week, announced its readiness to rollout 5G services across the country by 2020. Currently Nigeria operates on 3G and 4G services that are being provided by telecommun­ications operators.

5G is expected to increase speed of internet connectivi­ty and also boost machine to machine communicat­ion as well as human to device communicat­ion, where humans will communicat­e and remotely control 5G connected devices. Humans will also be able to use dedicated 5G devices to check their health status.

The Ericsson Mobility Report predicted that cellular Internet of Things (IoT) connection­s would surpass four billion in the next six years.

This is just as global mobile data traffic grew 79 per cent year-on-year in Q3 2018.

Key drivers for 5G deployment include increased network capacity, lower cost per gigabyte and new use case requiremen­ts.

North America and North East Asia are expected to lead the 5G uptake. In North America, 5G subscripti­ons are forecast to account for 55 per cent of mobile subscripti­ons by the end of 2024. In North East Asia, the correspond­ing forecast figure is more than 43 per cent, the report said.

In Western Europe, 5G was forecast to account for 30 per cent of mobile subscripti­ons in the region by the end of 2024.

Analysing the report through video conferenci­ng, the Head of West Africa at Ericsson Middle East and African operations, Nora Wahby, said of the 4.1 billion cellular IoT connection­s forecast for 2024, North East Asia was expected to account for 2.7 billion – a figure reflecting both the ambition and size of the cellular IoT market in this region.

According to her, mobile data traffic grew 79 per cent between Q3 2017 and Q3 2018, with China a key engine.

“Mobile data traffic in Q3 2018 grew close to 79 per cent year-on-year, which is the highest rate since 2013. Increased datatraffi­c-per-smartphone in North East Asia– mainly in China – has pushed the global figure notably higher.

“With a traffic growth per smartphone of around 140 per cent between end 2017 and end of 2018, the region has the second highest data traffic per smartphone at 7.3 gigabytes per month. This is comparable to streaming high definition (HD) video for around 10 hours per month,” Wahby said.

The Executive Vice President and Head of Business Area Networks at Ericsson, Fredrik Jejdling, said: “As 5G now hits the market, its coverage build-out and uptake in subscripti­ons are projected to be faster than for previous generation­s.

“At the same time, cellular IoT continues to grow strongly. What we are seeing is the start of fundamenta­l changes that will impact not just the consumer market but many industries.”

The Executive Vice Chairman of NCC, Prof. Umar Danbatta, las week said trial testing of the rollout plan for 5G has commenced in the country beginning with the Eko Atlantic Project, where broadband data would drive connectivi­ty and allow humans to interact with

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