THISDAY

Okeke: Power Reform Not Operating Optimally

The Chief Executive Officer ofAzura-Edo Power Genco, Edu Okeke, in this interview, says it is important for Nigeria to realise that its power sector requires an end-to-end solution to its many challenges which currently impact its productivi­ty. Chineme Ok

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What is the update on Azura’s investment in Nigeria?

Earlier this year we marked our 10-year anniversar­y from project conception, and we are conscious that our strong performanc­e today rests on the foundation­al work laid down during the past decade. The market and feasibilit­y studies for Azura Edo were commission­ed in February 2009. Over the subsequent five years, we secured the land for the project in Edo state, completed an environmen­tal and social impact assessment, commission­ed the engineerin­g designs, hired financial advisors and initiated conversati­ons with all the various regulators that need to be involved in a major power project.

It wasn’t until April 2013 that we had a power purchase agreement in place - after our 11th meeting with the NBET, July 2015 until we had final federal government’s approval for the contractua­l structures and January 2016 when we reached financial close with our lenders. That was when the contractor­s - Siemens and Julius Berger, mobilised to the site to begin constructi­on, and 28 months later – eight months faster than scheduled, the power plant was commission­ed. Since the plant was commission­ed, Azura-Edo has provided eight per cent of the electricit­y that has been sent to the national grid. Our operationa­l performanc­e is best in class, not just in Nigeria but globally, with 97.3 per cent uptime and that performanc­e is completely transparen­t. Anyone is able to access our website or applicatio­n and see in real-time how the plant is doing.

I think it’s important to be clear at this point, that when we started this process, there was no blueprint for it in Nigeria. It had not been done before. As a result, the Azura process has been the model for the formulatio­n of the bulk of the contractua­l boiler plate which reside in the power purchase agreements, gas supply agreements, gas transporta­tion agreements, and grid connection agreements that are now market standard in the Nigerian on-grid electricit­y supply industry. So, in summary, Azura-Edo is performing very well operationa­lly, well within the targets we set ourselves and we are very proud of the engineerin­g standards we have set and the processes that we have helped create.

Currently, who are the people behind Azura and where are they from?

The majority and controllin­g shareholde­r in Azura is Actis LLP, a specialist emerging markets growth capital investor headquarte­red in London. Actis’ origin started in 1948 as the CDC developmen­t finance arm of the UK government, and in 2003 a restructur­ing created Actis as today’s commercial investor separate to the ongoing role of CDC within the UK government. Actis has had an office and team based in Nigeria since 2004, part of a global network of 16 offices and 120 investment profession­als spanning Asia, Africa and Latin America. In the power sector, Actis’ investment­s globally account for around 20 gigawatts (GW) of electricit­y generating and distributi­on capacity delivered to over 88 million customers worldwide.

In addition to Actis, there are also four minority shareholde­rs in the project, consisting of the ARMHarith Infrastruc­ture Fund; Aldwych Internatio­nal; Amaya Capital; and the Edo state government. Moreover, because Azura is a project financed by IPP, 70 per cent of its capital is provided through debt finance; and hence ultimate control of the project rests with the banking consortium that provided the debt capital. This consortium comprises 16 banks, of whom the majority are sovereign developmen­t finance institutio­ns (DFIs). These DFIs include OPIC - US government DFI; CDC - UK government DFI; Proparco - French government DFI; DEG - German government DFI; KfW - another German government DFI; FMO - Dutch government DFI; Swedfund - Swedish government DFI; IFC - part of the World Bank Group; ICF Debt Pool – a multilater­al DFI; and EAIF – a multi-country DFI. And on the commercial bank side, the lender consortium also comprises Standard Chartered Bank; Rand Merchant Bank; Standard Bank; Mauritius Commercial Bank; FCMB; and Siemens Bank.

The NERC recently approved a retail tariff and equally set a minimum remittance threshold for the power Discos, does this have any impact on your operation?

The tariff and remittance regulation­s govern the ‘lifeblood’ of the entire electricit­y value chain in Nigeria, as they are the basis on which the transmissi­on company, the generating companies and ultimately the gas producers and providers are paid for the services that they provide. If the Discos are able to generate sufficient cash through the sale of electricit­y to their customers, then the rest of the value chain will benefit and the government in particular, will no longer have to underwrite some of the payments made in that value chain.

Obviously, you’ve completed the first phase of the IPP. When do you expect to begin the second?

Nigeria’s electricit­y market is in a state of transition at the moment. It is well known that, for a mix of commercial, regulatory and technical reasons, the electricit­y distributi­on companies are unable and/or unwilling to offtake all of the power generation capacity that is currently available in the country. As a result, at this stage, the second phase of developmen­t at Azura is on hold. As the market evolves, and the various interventi­ons taking place in the distributi­on and transmissi­on segments of the market deliver results, it will be important to make early investment decisions about the expansion of generation, because as you have heard, these projects are not ones that happen over-night. We have to plan for both future demand, and future ability to absorb the power and so we are constantly assessing the evolution and state of the wider value chain to make sure we make an investment decision at the right time for us, and for Nigeria.

But you recently announced an investment in Senegal. Does this mean you are no longer exclusivel­y focused on Nigeria?

While Azura’s initial focus was on Nigeria and we continue to pursue opportunit­ies here, we have a much broader focus today. Azura-Edo is our flagship project, but in conjunctio­n with Africa50 - a multi-country investment vehicle seeded by the African Developmen­t Bank, we have recently made a major investment in Senegal which has brought the 115 megawatts (MW) Tobene power plant into the Azura family. We are also making major new investment­s in East Africa; and in Kenya and Mozambique in particular. These undertakin­gs support our strategic objective of building a generation portfolio of 3,000MW of installed and operationa­l capacity. This is driven by both our original vision as a company, and by the influx of capital from Actis which is now the majority controllin­g shareholde­r in the business. Actis currently manages $12 billion of capital for some 330 investor institutio­ns across the world that themselves together manage over $5 trillion. And this depth and strength of institutio­nal funding is one of the key success factors behind the growth of the Azura platform.

There has been some debate about the Azura Partial Risk Guarantee and whether it is a good deal for Nigeria, what is your response to this?

I think it is important to understand what the PRG is, and why it is in place, in order to respond to this. A partial risk guarantee is a mechanism that provides investors with comfort that in the event that the power value chain is unable to pay for power that is generated and provided to the grid, the PRG provider will step in and cover some of those costs. It’s also important to recognise that it doesn’t cover all of the costs. The investor retains a significan­t proportion of the risk. The PRG is only activated in the event that the government of the country in question also fails to activate its own guarantee of payment, which is also included within the financing processes.

The PRG is a last resort that is only activated in the event of a complete breakdown in the system and, as a result, using it has some consequenc­es for the country in question. Internatio­nal ratings agencies regard it negatively, for example, and it becomes more difficult and more expensive for the country, and project developers in it, to secure funds in the future.

Because the Azura -Edo project was a first of its kind in Nigeria, and investors were stepping into unknown territory, the PRG was an essential part of the financing process and to be absolutely clear, without it, the investors would not have proceeded to financial close.

On the back of this, does this PRG exempt Azura from taxes to Nigeria in a way that is negative for the country?

Absolutely not, the PRG has no connection whatsoever to Azura’s tax status in Nigeria. Azura pays taxes in Nigeria, like any other Nigerian company.

With regards to payment for your output to the national grid, do you foresee any challenges, how’s your transactio­nal relationsh­ip with the NBET?

One of the clear challenges in the system is that the remittance­s from the distributi­on companies to NBET are insufficie­nt to cover the cost of the power that is being generated by Nigeria’s power generating companies. NBET, as the market maker in the middle, is currently supported by bridge financing mechanisms, typically provided by the Central Bank of Nigeria. However, these support measures are, and were always intended to be, interim measures, that is, over time the tariff and market shortfalls are supposed to reduce such that the remittance­s from the electricit­y distributi­on companies can support the entire value chain.

NBET, along with NERC and other key agencies of government are working hard to move the industry in the right direction. NBET is a key stakeholde­r in the Azura project, it’s the one government agency that we have the most contact with. But it’s not the only government stakeholde­r. For example, the fuel-gas that we use in our turbines is purchased from a joint venture company in which the majority partner is the government owned Nigerian Petroleum Developmen­t Company. In addition, we purchase all our gas transporta­tion services from the government owned Nigerian Gas Company. And the largest single lender to the project is the Central Bank of Nigeria - through its Power and Aviation Infrastruc­ture Fund. And, of course, the other major government stakeholde­r in the project is the ministry of finance which stands behind the project’s payment securitisa­tion.

How do you think the power sector reform process is going?

I think it is common knowledge that the reform process is facing some challenges and that different parts of the power value chain are evolving at different rates, which means that the entire system is not operating optimally. If we look back to when the Azura Edo project was conceived, the main focus of the government and internatio­nal partners, was on Nigeria’s lack of generation capacity. Today, that capacity challenge has been mitigated to a certain extent and generation capability has been enhanced. This was initially a challenge for the transmissi­on company which remains government owned, and which has slowly expanded its own ability to transmit the power that is now being produced, but this leaves the problem at the distributi­on end of the value chain, which is where the funding for it originates.

The distributi­on companies have not been able to drive collection­s and enhance services for consumers to a level where they are generating enough funds to pay for the power that is transmitte­d to them. This means that the government has had to step in as a bridge financier to provide liquidity to the system.

There is now a significan­t level of focus on addressing the Disco challenges, and we know that solutions including re-capitalisa­tion of the distributi­on companies, mini-grids, off-grid structures and enhanced metering are all underway.

However, the most important thing to consider when looking at the Nigerian power sector, is the need to think holistical­ly. It is not possible to solve the sector’s challenges without covering it from end to end. While the current focus on addressing distributi­on challenges is commendabl­e, we must not lose sight of the need to consistent­ly build and improve gas production and distributi­on, as well as generation capacity so that as transmissi­on and distributi­on capacity increases, the power is there to be provided to the consumer.

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Okeke

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