OPEC: Oil Industry Needs $11.1tn in Upstream Investment by 2045

The oil industry will need cumulative investments of $11.1 trillion in exploration and production by 2045 to keep pace with growing energy demand and ensure stable supply.

Secretary General of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Haitham Al Ghais told Emirati news agency WAM in an interview, oilprice.com reported.

“Allocating more investments in the oil industry will contribute to promoting the sustainability of the global energy sector, securing sufficient and reliable supplies for the world as a whole, and ensuring secure supplies for future generations,” OPEC’s chief told the news agency.

Investment in oil is critical for the global energy security, Al Ghais added, re-echoing his earlier position that abandoning fossil fuels will be catastrophic for the world.

OPEC’s latest annual World Oil Outlook from October 2023 calls for $14 trillion in cumulative investments in the oil sector by 2045, including in the upstream, midstream, and downstream segments.

The annual investments need to be around $610 billion on average, the bulk of which should go to the upstream segment, the cartel said, rebuffing calls for a halt in investments in new supply.

In November, OPEC and its Secretary General, Al Ghais criticised the International Energy Agency (IEA) for vilifying the industry and for playing down energy security and affordability.

Days earlier, IEA had said that the oil and gas industry faces “a moment of truth” in choosing between fuelling climate change and becoming a part of the solution.

Last month, Al Ghais said that OPEC stands firmly behind its latest long-term outlook on oil demand from October, when the cartel raised significantly its long-term demand estimate and now expects global oil demand at around 116 million bpd in 2045, up by 6 million bpd compared to the previous assessment from 2022.

“If oil disappeared tomorrow, millions of jobs would be lost. Tax revenues would be depleted. Industrial production would crimp. Economic growth would go into reverse. The plight of the fuel poor would be worsened.

“We need to be cautious of endangering the present, in the name of saving the future,” Al Ghais wrote earlier.