Muscat Daily

'Not the time' for austerity as global growth slows: UN

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A pessimisti­c growth forecast for 2023 should not lead to "short-term thinking or knee-jerk fiscal austerity" that could worsen inequality or threaten developmen­t goals, the United Nations said in a report.

This comes as the world economy faced a series of shocks last year including fallout from the pandemic, Russia's invasion of Ukraine and surging inflation.

Global economic growth is set to slump against this backdrop, from an estimated 3.0 per cent in 2022 to 1.9 per cent this year, said the United Nations in its World Economic Situation and Prospects report.

But "this is not the time for short-term thinking or knee-jerk fiscal austerity that exacerbate­s inequality, increases suffering and could put (sustainabl­e developmen­t goals) farther out of reach," said UN Secretary-general Antonio Guterres.

"These unpreceden­ted times demand unpreceden­ted action," he added in a statement.

The 17 sustainabl­e developmen­t goals (SDGS) Guterres referred to were adopted by UN member states in 2015. Their aims include achieving food security, eliminatin­g poverty, and providing access to clean and affordable energy by 2030.

While a summit in New York later this year will assess the progress towards these goals, many are not on track to be met.

Global economic growth is set to slump from an estimated 3.0% in 2022 to 1.9% this year, the United Nations said in its World Economic Situation and Prospects report

"Slower growth, elevated inflation and mounting debt vulnerabil­ities threaten to further set back hard-won SDG achievemen­ts, deepening the already negative effects of the Covid-19 pandemic," said the UN report.

Under current economic circumstan­ces "the typical prescripti­on" from economists would be to cut spending, said

Hamid Rashid, who led the writing of the UN report.

"Government­s will be often asked to tighten their belts," he told AFP.

"Our key message in the report is that government­s in developing countries especially... must avoid austerity," he said, adding that this would be "extremely detrimenta­l" for developmen­t goals.

As restructur­ing becomes tough when a country defaults on its debt, it is better to do so before a default, he said.

According to the report, in 2022, debt servicing accounted for over 25 per cent of government revenue in eight developing countries. For Sri Lanka, this hit nearly 80 per cent of government revenue.

The UN is also concerned about risks of a fall in developmen­t aid.

War in Ukraine and future reconstruc­tion "will divert some resources," Rashid said, warning of a huge setback for low-income countries.

 ?? (AFP) ?? UN Secretary-general Antonio Guterres speaks during a session of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerlan­d on January 18
(AFP) UN Secretary-general Antonio Guterres speaks during a session of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerlan­d on January 18

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