Oman Daily Observer

Warnings about Artificial intelligen­ce

- Dr Muamar bin Ali Al Tobi The writer is an academic and researcher

In 2014, physicist Stephen Hawking made alarming statements about the dangers of artificial intelligen­ce, predicting the extinction of the human species. However, these statements were largely dismissed as exaggerati­ons at the time, as AI had not yet achieved the prominence it holds today.

It wasn’t until 2022, with the emergence of the generative AI model CHATGPT, that warnings about AI’S risks began to increase.

Following Hawking, warnings came from AI pioneer Geoffrey Hinton and former Openai CEO Sam Altman, maker of CHATGPT, alongside calls from scientists for a moratorium on AI developmen­t, and warnings from global decision-makers, including a recent one from UN Secretary-general António Guterres in June 2023, comparing AI’S existentia­l threat to that of nuclear weapons.

I strive to follow global news on AI across various media, seeking to understand the current landscape and future projection­s.

My long acquaintan­ce with AI, through computatio­nal systems and mathematic­al principles, did not prepare me for the media dynamism and engagement I’ve seen, especially since late 2022.

The media’s focus on scientists’ and politician­s’ concerns is not unfounded; it reflects the existentia­l dangers some, like the UN Secretary-general, equate with nuclear threats.

I don’t wish to reiterate these widely discussed fears, but rather, I aim to present the core of this digital dilemma that has divided opinions: one side anxious and concerned, the other indifferen­t, viewing the issue as a media storm filled with hyperbole.

My perspectiv­e, based on technical “scientific” rationales and political insights, is that AI’S current and future developmen­ts bear worrying signs, moving towards a general AI that rivals human cognitive abilities.

This raises a profound question, previously posed by Geoffrey Hinton: How can a being, like humans, control a digital entity, AI, that surpasses its intelligen­ce?

This unpreceden­ted scenario in science poses a significan­t risk if AI surpasses its human creators in all aspects of intelligen­ce. Readers are invited to contemplat­e such a scenario and its outcomes, with a “scientific” affirmatio­n of its feasibilit­y as AI begins to outperform humans in various fields.

The main problem leading AI to its perilous turn lies in politics, as the scientific side naturally progresses in AI developmen­ts, inevitably advancing scientific growth and maximising the benefits of these advanced technologi­es.

However, mitigating their negatives requires firm political decisions. This situation is reminiscen­t of the early days of nuclear energy and its militarypo­litical developmen­ts under secret military research, lacking sufficient political will to prevent potential dangers until the catastroph­ic nuclear event in Hiroshima.

The world then awakened to a human existentia­l threat, leading to regulation­s and ethics governing nuclear energy use and limiting harmful nuclear proliferat­ion.

History seems to repeat itself with AI, amidst unheeded warnings and alerts. This time, the threat is a digital weapon endangerin­g humanity in various ways beyond mere physical destructio­n, including economic, financial, industrial, and personal stability threats.

Global initiative­s are emerging to establish a serious dialogue on regulating AI uses and developmen­ts, with the European Parliament proposing laws to address rising concerns about AI and limit harmful uses, including data types used in training AI models to ensure the highest ethical standards.

The UK has expressed its intention to organise the first global summit on AI safety, aiming for a leading role in AI governance.

Similarly, the UN Secretary-general has shown a “serious” interest in establishi­ng an internatio­nal AI agency, akin to the Internatio­nal Atomic Energy Agency, reflecting real concerns and attempts by these nations to curb the negative ramificati­ons and harmful uses of AI.

HISTORY SEEMS TO REPEAT ITSELF WITH AI, AMIDST UNHEEDED WARNINGS AND ALERTS. THIS TIME, THE THREAT IS A DIGITAL WEAPON ENDANGERIN­G HUMANITY IN VARIOUS WAYS BEYOND MERE PHYSICAL DESTRUCTIO­N, INCLUDING ECONOMIC, FINANCIAL, INDUSTRIAL, AND PERSONAL STABILITY THREATS

 ?? ?? The UN Secretary-general has shown a “serious” interest in establishi­ng an internatio­nal AI agency, akin to the Internatio­nal Atomic Energy Agency, reflecting real concerns and attempts by these nations to curb the negative ramificati­ons and harmful uses of AI.
The UN Secretary-general has shown a “serious” interest in establishi­ng an internatio­nal AI agency, akin to the Internatio­nal Atomic Energy Agency, reflecting real concerns and attempts by these nations to curb the negative ramificati­ons and harmful uses of AI.
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