The Pak Banker

Gold traders most bullish in 10 weeks on stimulus

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NEW YORK

Gold traders are the most bullish in 10 weeks and investors are hoarding a record amount of bullion as central banks pledge to do more to spur economic growth.

Eighteen of 27 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect prices to rise next week and five were bearish. A further four were neutral, making the proportion of bulls the highest since Aug. 24. Holdings in gold-backed exchange-traded products gained the past three months, the best run since August 2011, data compiled by Bloomberg show. They reached a record 2,588.4 metric tons yesterday, valued at $142.1 billion, the data show. Gold rose 70 percent as the Fed bought $2.3 trillion of debt in two rounds of quantitati­ve easing from December 2008 through June 2011.

The Bank of Japan (8301) expanded its asset-purchase program on Oct. 30 for the second time in two months, increasing it by 11 trillion yen ($137 billion). The Federal Reserve said last week it plans to continue buying bonds and central banks from Europe to China have pledged more action to boost economies. Gold rose 70 percent as the Fed bought $2.3 trillion of debt in two rounds of quantitati­ve easing from December 2008 through June 2011. "Central banks are all very concerned about a depression, so they're keeping monetary policies as loose as possible," said Mark O'Byrne, the executive director of Dublin-based GoldCore Ltd., a brokerage that sells and stores everything from quarter-ounce British Sovereigns to 400-ounce bars. "People are buying gold as a store of value to protect against currency depreciati­on."

Gold rose 9.2 percent to $1,707.13 an ounce in London this year, heading for a 12th straight annual gain, the longest winning streak in at least nine decades. The Standard & Poor's GSCI gauge of 24 commoditie­s lost 1.3 percent since the end of December, and the MSCI AllCountry World Index of equities climbed 11 percent. Treasuries returned 1.9 percent, a Bank of America Corp. index shows.

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