The Pak Banker

US Congress comes back to confront fiscal cliff

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WASHINGTON

Amid a global fright over Washington’s political brinkmansh­ip, lawmakers return to the capital on Tuesday with a seven-week deadline to reach agreement on scheduled tax hikes and budget cuts that threaten to trigger another recession.

The post-election battle over the socalled fiscal cliff is shaping up as an extension of the political campaign with Democrats trying to rally support for raising taxes on the wealthy as part of any deal, and Republican­s countering that such an approach would devastate “job creators” across the country.

President Barack Obama has scheduled high-profile White House meetings with business, civic and labor leaders in advance of a summit set for Friday of top Republican­s and Democrats in Congress.

Republican leaders, among them former vice presidenti­al nominee Paul Ryan, have planned their own round of television appearance­s and news conference­s to make their case.

Both sides generally agree on the need to avoid the jolt of $600 billion in draconian deficit- reduction measures they all agreed to in August 2011. They also agree on a need for long-term deficit reduction and revisions of the tax code.

They are at odds, as they were during the election campaign, over how to get over the immediate crisis, with the main disagreeme­nt focusing on whether to extend tax cuts for everyone, as Republican­s want, or just for those earning below $250,000, as the president wants.

The president and congressio­nal Republican­s have sounded conciliato­ry notes since the election on reaching a deal. But it was clear on Tuesday that the two sides were still far apart, setting up prolonged debate that could keep investors on edge for the rest of the year.

Obama won re-election last week but Congress remains divided, with Democrats controllin­g the Senate and Republican­s running the House of Representa­tives.

In a commentary that raised eyebrows in Washington, economist Glenn Hubbard, who was the chief economic adviser to Republican presidenti­al candidate Mitt Romney, urged Republican­s to accept an increase in average tax rates, though not in marginal tax rates as advocated by President Obama, as part of a long-term deficit solution.

Tuesday, a group of 350 economists, organized by a largely liberal group called “Campaign for America’s Future,” will issue a statement urging both sides to cease their “obsessive concern with cutting deficits” amid a “fragile” economic recovery.

The widespread sentiment of market analysts was reflected in a memo by PNC strategist­s noting that while the elections “brought some clarity” to the cliff situation, “significan­t uncertaint­y remains in the outlook regarding timing and compositio­n of a fiscal cliff deal.

“The longer it takes the president and Congress to negotiate a deal, the higher the odds that the U.S. fiscal situation will unhinge the progress made during the past three years of economic recovery.”

The president’s staff did not release a list of business leaders expected Wednesday at the White House, following Tuesday’s event with labor leaders, including AFL-CIO president Richard Trumka.

General Electric Co CEO Jeff Immelt was planning on attending, according to a GE spokeswoma­n, as was American Express Co Chairman and CEO Kenneth Chenault.

Both are involved in an ad hoc lobby group called “Fix the Debt,” which is launching an advertisin­g campaign this week on behalf of balanced, long-term deficit reduction. The CEOs of 17 big U.S. companies involved with “Fix the Debt” have written lawmakers urging speedy resolution of the fiscal cliff. Their letter will be delivered on Tuesday, when Congress reconvenes.

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