The Pak Banker

Catalan Banks owing ECB $77 billion may stall independen­ce drive

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MADRID

Catalan banks may obstruct the region’s path to possible independen­ce after borrowing about 60 billion euros ($77 billion) from the European Central Bank.

CaixaBank, Spain’s thirdbigge­st bank, took about 20 billion euros in central bank funding, according to the Barcelonab­ased company’s accounts. Banco Sabadell SA, a Catalan lender that became Spain’s fifth-biggest after a string of acquisitio­ns, has borrowed about 27 billion euros. The region’s President Artur Mas called early elections for Nov. 25 in a gambit that may trigger a drive for independen­ce and risks stranding a new Catalan state outside the European Union as well as severing ties to Spain. The region’s banks, like other Spanish lenders, tapped the ECB’s low-cost funding when Spain’s economic crisis shut them out of debt markets.

“The Catalan financial system is still on life support from the ECB,” said Edward Hugh, an economist and board member of Catalunya Banc, a Barcelona-based lender nationaliz­ed last year and that has used about 19 billion euros of central bank funding. “People need to start facing up to the fact that Catalonia has to be in the euro.” European officials, including Competitio­n Commission­er Joaquin Almunia, a Spaniard, and European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso have said that a new Catalan state would have to reapply for EU membership.

Mas has said the question of Catalan independen­ce would “still be posed,” even if the new country was excluded from the EU. Mas wants Catalonia to separate from Spain while remaining part of the EU and keeping the euro.

The combined assets of CaixaBank, Sabadell and Catalunya Banc amount to 590 billion euros, or almost three times the size of a Catalan economy that’s similar in size to Greece. In Ireland, the assets of domestic banks amounted to 3.3 times the size of the country’s economy in 2008 when the state guaranteed most of their liabilitie­s to prevent a collapse of the financial system, according to Bloomberg News calculatio­ns based on lenders’ annual reports and Irish Central Statistics Office GDP data for that year.

To be sure, the process that could lead to independen­ce is still in its early stages. Mas pledged to hold a referendum on the issue within four years of the elections. He may choose to hold the consultati­on in 2014 to coordinate it with a similar process due in Scotland, Antonio Barroso, an analyst at Eurasia Group in London, said in a Nov. 20 research note.

“Many things still have to happen before someone starts asking the tough questions about what happens with the banks,” said Cesar Molinas, a consultant and former head of European fixed income at Merrill Lynch & Co.

CaixaBank and Sabadell, based in the town of the same name near Barcelona, declined to comment on the impact of eventual Catalan independen­ce. In a seminar in Barcelona last month, Sabadell Chairman Josep Oliu called on politician­s to create conditions to allow business to continue with sufficient legal guarantees.

The Catalan government wasn’t immediatel­y available for comment. CaixaBank Chairman Isidro Faine and “the rest of the representa­tives of big business in Catalonia are going to be very worried by all this,” said Barcelona-born Molinas in a phone interview. CaixaBank, the biggest lender in Catalonia, with 344 billion euros of assets, had available funds of 42 billion euros in June, according to its accounts. The issue of ECB funding is only one of several issues facing banks, said Jose Garcia Montalvo, an economics professor at Pompeu Fabra University in Barcelona. An independen­t Catalonia outside the euro would have to set up its own body to oversee its banks at a time when Spain and other EU nations.

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