The Pak Banker

IMF says Benin prudent fiscal policy kept fiscal deficits at manageable levels

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WASHINGTON

Today the Executive Board of the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the Article IV consultati­on with Benin.1 The Board also approved the fourth review under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangemen­t during the same meeting. Benin has consolidat­ed and reinforced recent gains in macroecono­mic management, but significan­t challenges remain in accelerati­ng economic growth and reducing poverty. Prudent fiscal policy has kept fiscal deficits at manageable levels and has averaged a basic primary surplus over the period 2010–June 2012. This policy, combined with the benefits of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) and the Multilater­al Debt Reduction Initiative­s (MDRI), has kept public debt low, at about 32 percent of GDP.

Real growth rebounded after the 2010 floods, to about 3½ percent in 2011 and is anticipate­d to maintain this rate through 2012. Authoritie­s have made some progress on structural reforms and significan­tly improved disburseme­nts of priority social expenditur­e. Challenges remain in achieving public investment targets, infrastruc­ture developmen­t, and promotion of private sector activity. Appropriat­e monetary policy by the Central Bank of West African States (BCEAO) has helped keep inflation low at about 2½ percent in 2010-11. A significan­t increase in fuel prices imported from Nigeria in January 2012 resulted in a jump in the consumer price index, but does not appear to have a persistent inflationa­ry impact. The recent spike in internatio­nal food prices has not had a notable impact in Benin, given the country’s ability to supply basic staples with domestic production.

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