The Pak Banker

Lithuania adopts euro as Russian worries rattle Baltics

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Lithuanian­s celebrated with fireworks and toasted champagne bought with euros as their country finished a quarter-century transition from a communist economy to a member of the single European currency. Swapping its litas for euros at midnight, the Baltic country of 3 million wedged between Poland and Latvia became the 19th member of the currency bloc. Crowds gathered by the cathedral on the main square in the old town of Vilnius, the capital, as Prime Minister Algirdas Butkeviciu­s withdrew the country's first euros from a bank machine.

Lithuania's entry puts the entire Baltic region in the euro area after neighborin­g Latvia's accession a year ago and Estonia's in 2011. It also comes as the countries, which gained independen­ce in 1990 and 1991 during the collapse of the Soviet Union, are seeking greater security guarantees from their allies amid signs of growing Russian expansioni­sm.

"Joining the euro zone is a very logical step in the chain of very important steps for my country," Finance Minister Rimantas Sadzius said in an interview. "Euro adoption is perhaps the final step at this stage of integratin­g Lithuania into the single market of western Europe. This of course has security implicatio­ns, like joining NATO and the European Union."

Euro adoption "went smoothly and successful­ly," central bank Governor Vitas Vasiliausk­as said in a news conference today. Euros accounted for some 28 percent of money in circulatio­n on the first day of the currency-switch, he said.

Eastern European countries that joined the EU in 2004, 2007 and 2013 are obliged to adopt the single currency once they meet the economic criteria. Yet as political turmoil in Greece triggered snap elections this month, shaking financial markets and rekindling memories of the euro-area debt crisis, Lithuania may be the last addition to the euro club for several years. While Romania has set 2019 as its target date for joining, the biggest eastern EU members, including Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary, are clinging to their currencies.

For Lithuania, the euro promises both a political and economic boon. After having no independen­t monetary policy for 20 years because of its currency pegs, the country now gains a say in the ECB's decision making, access to Europe's bank resolution fund and cheaper borrowing costs. "There's also a geopolitic­al reason that is more relevant for the Baltic states than for any other EU country," Butkeviciu­s said.

Lithuania, which joined the North Atlantic Treaty Organizati­on and the EU in 2004, also considers the single currency an economic shield as its concerns grow over Russia's actions in Ukraine. The alliance has accused Russian President Vladimir Putin's government of inciting a separatist rebellion there, while the EU and U.S. have sanctioned individual­s, companies and industries in what has become the biggest standoff between the Cold War foes since the fall of the Iron Curtain.

Lithuania put military units on high alert for five days last month to respond to increased Russian military activity close to its borders. The number of Russian military planes intercepte­d by NATO fighters over the Baltic Sea near its members' borders at least tripled last year, according to the alliance.

"The closer we are to the West, the further we are from the East," Vasiliausk­as said in an interview. "As a central bank governor, I shouldn't get myself involved in geopolitic­al discussion­s. But these are the facts today."

Lithuania's path to adopting the currency was marred by a historic snub in 2006, when it became the only nation to be turned down for euro-area membership. It missed the EU's inflation target by 0.1 percentage point, and the European Commission, the 28-member bloc's executive arm, said prices would jump further. Inflation peaked at 12.5 percent in 2008.

The country then suffered a 15 percent economic contractio­n during 2009 when the government pushed through wage cuts and tax increases equivalent to 12 percent of annual output. The strategy was aimed at curbing a swelling budget deficit and keep- ing the litas pegged to the euro during the global financial crisis.

That sent a wave of Lithuanian­s pouring out of the country to seek jobs elsewhere in the EU after unemployme­nt doubled, with 83,000 people, or almost 3 percent of the population, leaving in 2010 alone.

The second attempt at adoption went smoothly. Inflation is set to drop to 0.3 percent this year, the lowest since 2004, according to the central bank. The budget deficit will narrow to 1.9 percent of gross domestic product, from 2.2 percent last year. Public debt is the euro area's fourth- lowest. "Lithuania has taken exceptiona­l measures at difficult times to reach its goal of joining the single currency," European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said in a video message posted on YouTube. "This is an achievemen­t from which both the euro area and Lithuania will benefit. The euro area is enriched by a small country of great history, culture and economic achievemen­ts."

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