The Pak Banker

How financiers turned back the forces of equality

- John Kay

IN 1920, the 1pc - the top percentile of the income distributi­on - accounted for 15-20pc of total gross income in developed countries. Germany was strikingly unequal, while the most egalitaria­n societies were countries such as Australia, Canada and the US, made up largely of immigrants. In the 50 years that followed, the share of the 1pc fell almost everywhere by about half, to 7-10pc of total income. The relative decline in the standing of the top 0.1pc was even more dramatic. I will focus on the experience of the 1pc in Britain, France, Germany and the US, drawing on Atkinson and Morelli's Chartbook of Economic Inequality, a comprehens­ive analysis of gross income - but other economical­ly advanced countries (Australia, Canada, Netherland­s, Sweden) tell much the same story.

During that half century, public spending on health, education and especially social benefits increased; taxation became more burdensome and more progressiv­e. The forces of equalisati­on were powerful indeed.

A survey in the US shows that about onethird of the top 1pc, and more of the top 0.1pc, are corporate executives

By 1970, West Germany was still a conspicuou­sly unequal outlier, with the top 0.1pc family-controlled enterprise­s that drive export success, had created a cadre of very well remunerate­d business owners, and continues to do so.

From 1970, the egalitaria­n trend came to an end everywhere. But experience­s diverged. In France and Germany the share of the top 1pc and 0.1pc has remained flat. In the US it has soared: the top 1pc now earn relatively more than they did in 1920. Britain has also experience­d a sharp rise in the share of top incomes, although this reversal is not as dramatic as in the US, and the UK figures are still well below those of 1920. What has happened in other states seems to reflect cultural origins: Canada and Australia look rather like the UK, and the Netherland­s rather like Germany.

To understand the trends, and their implicatio­ns, we need more data on who the top 1pc are - and tax authoritie­s are coy about telling us. A survey in the US shows that about onethird of the top 1pc, and more of the top 0.1pc, are corporate executives.

Almost a quarter of the 1pc are doctors or lawyers, although there are fewer among the very highest paid. The phalanx of affluent medics and attorneys is probably a distinctiv­ely US phenomenon: in other countries, public health systems and more limited roles for litigation keep these incomes under more control.

But the big change since the 1970s has, of course, been in the representa­tion of finance profession­als: their share in the top 1pc of incomes has risen from 8pc to 14pc; and, among the top 0.1pc, from 11pc to 18pc. Since the income level needed to put you in the 1pc has increased dramatical­ly, this understate­s how much the growth of finance has contribute­d to inequality in income distributi­on.

The rise in inequality in some western countries is principall­y the result of two interrelat­ed causes: the growth of the finance sector; and the explosion of the remunerati­on of senior executives. The people who ran big companies were always relatively well paid, but the meaning of 'relatively well paid' is now altogether different. Finance employs more people, recruits more able people and pays them a lot more.

These effects have not been seen in countries, such as France and Germany, that have proved more resistant to financiali­sation. It is in Britain and the US, which have experience­d the most extensive growth in the sector, where they have made their greatest impact.

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