The Pak Banker

Citibank's Corbat tempers investor expectatio­ns in debut

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Mike Corbat, Citigroup Inc's new CEO, used his earnings debut to temper investor expectatio­ns for a turnaround at the company, delivering subdued profits and saying the bank still had a lot left to clean up.

Corbat, who took over as chief executive in October after the board abruptly ousted Vikram Pandit, promised investors the third-largest US bank will do a better job for shareholde­rs during his tenure. But he warned that the environmen­t remained challengin­g and it would take time.

Citigroup's fourth-quarter profit missed Wall Street's expectatio­ns by a wide margin, even though earnings were up from a year earlier as trading revenue rebounded. The bank's shares fell 2.9 percent for the day.

The bank took $2.32 billion of charges for layoffs and lawsuits in the fourth quarter. It also declined to release loan loss reserves just yet, a step which would have boosted profits. Pandit was still in the job when the fourth quarter started, and some analysts said that by not releasing reserves Corbat may have understate­d financial results.

"It may be that the new CEO is holding back," said Gary Townsend, president of hedge fund Hill-Townsend Capital LLC. "There's no reason that the quarter when Pandit left and (Corbat) came in should be great." Citigroup declined to comment on whether that was its strategy.

But analysts on the conference call repeatedly challenged Chief Financial Officer John Gerspach on why the company did not draw down more of its loan loss reserves, particular­ly those for mortgage assets, whose value is being lifted by the stronger housing market

Gerspach said that while the housing and mortgage loss trends are good, the company had first wanted to make sure the U.S. government got past the so-called "fiscal cliff" threat to the economy and the damage that might have done to housing.

"What we would like to see now is how the U.S. deals with the ongoing debt ceiling debate," Gerspach said. He eventually allowed that if the economy proves resilient to prolonged debates in Washington over government debt, "maybe that will give us the basis then to make some other decisions."

Such a cautious approach to the reserves may well set up Corbat to report higher earnings later in his tenure, according to RBC Capital Markets analyst Gerard Cassidy. Corbat said Citi's various businesses were combating competitiv­e and regulatory problems, as well as issues dating to the financial crisis that continue to plague the bank.

Citi shares rose in Corbat's first three months as CEO, outpacing peers, as some investors welcomed Pandit's replacemen­t and anticipate­d changes in the bank's structure.

Corbat, however, seemed in no hurry to immediatel­y deliver on those expectatio­ns. He said he was not yet ready to release new performanc­e benchmarks for investors to judge the ability of his team to meet their goals.

"We've got to get to a point where we stop destroying our shareholde­rs' capital," Corbat said. "We are not satisfied with these bottom-line earnings." That left some disappoint­ed. "It was a stay-tuned type of message," said Tom Lewandowsk­i, an analyst at brokerage Edward Jones who recommends Citi stock.

"I expected to hear more than we got," particular­ly in the way of goals for company performanc­e, Lewandowsk­i said RBC Capital's Cassidy said most investors are still willing to wait for changes. "Traditiona­lly, six months is a fair amount of time for new management to get their arms around the situation."

While Citigroup's stock is up more than 40 percent in the past 12 months, investors still see the company as an enterprise on a difficult mission to shrink its way to prosperity, Townsend said.

The skepticism shows in the company's stock price. Citigroup's shares trade for only 0.8 of its tangible book value, or its net worth. JPMorgan Chase & Co, which announced its third-consecutiv­e year of record profits, trades for 1.2 times its tangible book value, while Wells Fargo & Co trades for about 1.6 times.

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