The Pak Banker

That was a horrible decade for economy

- Noah Smith

PRESIDENT Barack Obama began his 2015 State of the Union address last week with these words: We are fifteen years into this new century. Fifteen years that dawned with terror touching our shores; that unfolded with a new generation fighting two long and costly wars; that saw a vicious recession spread across our nation and the world. It has been, and still is, a hard time for many. This might sound like presidenti­al hyperbole. Obviously, every sitting president exaggerate­s the challenges he faced, in order to make himself look that much more heroic. But in this case, Obama may actually have understate­d his case.

The U.S. withstood an almost-unpreceden­ted series of shocks in the years from 2000 through 2011. The list of disasters is so extraordin­ary that it's worth repeating, just for emphasis.

First, there were the economic disasters. In 2000 the tech bubble popped, and in 2008 the housing bubble followed. Each of these asset price crashes represente­d $6.2 trillion dollars of financial wealth vanishing into thin air. That means each was larger, as a percentage of U.S. gross domestic product, than the stock market crash that touched off the Great Depression. In the space of a decade, we had the two biggest financial crashes in U.S. history.

The recession

that followed

the 2000 crash wasn't particular­ly severe. But it was long -- a "jobless recovery." And during the entire Bush administra­tion, real median household income never came back to its peak in the late 1990s.

But that recession was a pipsqueak com- pared with the monster that followed the financial crisis of 2008. The Great Recession was the worst thing to hit our economy since the Great Depression. U.S. GDP fell outright, by 3.9 percent. Household wealth plummeted by about half, and wages nose-dived. Unemployme­nt soared to 10 percent -- and by broader measures, much higher than that. An entire generation was scarred. Budget deficits ballooned as the government lost tax revenue even as it struggled to pump money into the flagging economy.

At the same time, of course, rapid growth in developing countries and dwindling supplies of crude oil pushed commodity prices to levels they hadn't touched in decades. Gasoline went from a little more than $1 a gallon at the start of the decade to $4.

In economic terms, the 2000s weren't as bad as the 1930s, but they were worse than anything else in the 20th century, including the much-derided 1970s.

But economic shocks weren't the only ones to hit the U.S. in the Terrible 2000s. The legacy of the terrorist attacks of 9/11 remain to this day, underminin­g the very basic notion of the U.S. as the "land of the free."

Then there was the Bush administra­tion's dissemblin­g in the run up to the war in Iraq. Much of the world swung from loving the U.S. to fearing it -- a swing that has only partially reversed itself during the Obama admin- istration. The futility of our actions in Iraq became obvious fairly quickly and our military victories were unable to halt the country's political disintegra­tion, which provided an opening for the brutal Islamic State.

Finally, the 2000s were a period of remarkable political dysfunctio­n. The contested election of 2000 left many voters with a sour taste in their mouths, more so than any election in the previous century.

Political partisansh­ip deepened to an almost pathologic­al degree. Suddenly we were a 50-50 nation, and angry people were taking to the streets, in the form of the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street. The political crisis came to a head in the debt-ceiling crisis of 2011, when Congress almost forced the U.S. into a technical default.

And all this time, the U.S. was facing down a new, invigorate­d set of internatio­nal rivals -- the Chinese economic juggernaut, a resurgent Russia and a metastasiz­ing cancer of internatio­nal Islamist terrorism.

This string of calamities sounds like a century's worth. But it happened in a single decade. For 10 years, the U.S. took a relentless series of heavy blows, one after another.

So although Americans are still worried, and although some of these problems haven't gone away, it's almost astonishin­g how well the U.S. has done.

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