The Pak Banker

Oil prices head for seventh weekly fall

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Oil prices looked set for their seventh weekly fall in Asia Friday, with US crude tumbling to fresh six-year lows as investors worried a global supply glut is set to last.

US benchmark West Texas Intermedia­te (WTI) for September delivery dropped 24 cents to $41.99 in afternoon trade, the lowest price since March 2009. Brent crude for September, which expires Friday, eased four cents to $49.18, remaining below the psychologi­cally important $50 a barrel. Bernard Aw, market strategist at IG Markets Singapore, predicted prices will remain weak after the Internatio­nal Energy Agency (IEA) said Wednesday the global crude oversupply will last through 2016.

"Crude oil should continue to stay under pressure and likely to clock their seventh weekly losses," Aw said. "The earlier IEA assessment that the supply glut situation would be extended beyond 2015 continues to contribute to the pessimisti­c outlook for energy." Phillip Futures investment analyst Daniel Ang said "downward momentum ( is) still strong" for oil prices. "We have not identified much change to fundamenta­ls for oil at the moment," he said in a market commentary.

Investors were also closely watching the impact of China s devaluatio­n of the yuan amid concerns it could trigger other Asian central banks to cut their currencies to make their exports more competitiv­e. Fresh speculatio­n that the US central bank will raise interest rates soon after the release of solid retail sales data has boosted the dollar, which is bad news for oil prices.

Oil is traded in the US currency and any uptick in the dollar will make the commodity more expensive, hurting demand. Some analysts expect the US Federal Reserve to hike interest rates as early as next month, but others say China s sudden move to devalue the yuan this week could prompt the Fed to delay a rise.

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