The Pak Banker

Exxon's $40b oil discovery sparks a nasty feud

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For generation­s, Venezuela has formally laid claim to most of its tiny neighbor, Guyana. Many dismissed the case, given Venezuela's oil wealth and Guyana's penury. Hugo Chavez, longstandi­ng president of Venezuela, even let it slide, referring to the Guyanese as his brothers.

Then in May, Exxon Mobil Corp. revealed that under contract from Guyana it had found massive offshore oil and gas deposits. Chavez's successor, Nicolas Maduro, demanded that the drilling stop because the area was Venezuela's. He dismissed Guyana's president as a tool of Big Oil, declared his statements "nauseating" and Guyana's actions likely to "bring war to our border." He withdrew his ambassador, and Guyana announced the end to a long-time rice-for-oil deal.

For Guyana -- which produces no oil and whose 800,000 inhabitant­s live with unpaved flooded roads and power outages -- the estimated offshore find of 700 million barrels promises a revolution, a shift from negligible food exporter to global energy dealer. The combined oil and natural-gas deposits appear to be worth $40 billion, at least 10 times the country's gross domestic product.

"We've gone through suffering for many decades and our time is due," Raphael Trotman, minister of governance, said in an interview in his office on an unassuming road in the capital, Georgetown. The discovery is "transforma­tional," he said. "For us, there is no going back."

Ordinary Guyanese, who rely on Venezuelan oil, are giddy with anticipati­on. Staring at a potential jackpot, they also are livid with Maduro, accusing him of trying to evade his economic and political woes by coveting what belongs to them.

"Chavez never fought and now Maduro?" said Otis Adams, a 42year-old heavy-machine operator in the destitute border town of Mabaruma. "He's a nobody, trying to pass off the worry of his people from all that killing and suffering -- he's just being greedy."

Venezuela has the world's highest inflation, chronic shortages of consumer basics, including medicine and toilet paper, and a murder rate that surpasses Iraq's. Parliament­ary elections are in December, and Maduro's socialist coalition may lose its majority for the first time in 16 years.

"Why so suddenly?" asked Charlie Bees, about the renewed claim to large swathes of his country. "Maduro is losing votes!" explained the 52-year-old currency trader working near Georgetown's port. It may seem to the Guyanese like a mere political diversion, but their president, David Granger, says Venezuela is causing real trouble.

"Investors have been intimidate­d, developmen­t has been derailed, projects have been obstructed," he said in a speech in Washington last month. "It is too much to bear for a country that has less than a million people." Rather than halt its exploratio­n activities, Guyana is moving forward, Guyana's foreign minister, Carl Greenidge, said in an interview. The government expects it will take five to seven years for the first production.

"We call upon the internatio­nal community to help us develop within the internatio­nally recognized borders, peacefully and without the burden of a neighbor whose actions serve to impoverish us and whose claim is based on what happened 200 years ago."

Edward Glab, who teaches at Florida Internatio­nal University in Miami and worked at Exxon for 25 years, said the find was clearly of major significan­ce for Guyana, even with oil down to $50 a barrel.

"You could have investors trying to get ahead of the curve because they figure at some point there is going to be huge wealth in the country," he said. "They might be able to take risks, counting on the fact that the country will be able to pay its bills."

Venezuela's claim on Guyana's land a century ago had a very different feel. It was a British colony until 1966; its citizens speak English and are descendant­s of African slaves, indentured Indian laborers and native peoples. In 1899, an internatio­nal tribunal in Paris granted the disputed region, known as the Essequibo, to Guyana; Venezuela rejected the ruling.

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