The Pak Banker

Oil approaches key $40 level in Asian trade

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Oil prices slid to a fresh six and a half year low in Asia Thursday, approachin­g the key $40 a barrel level after a surprise rise in US inventorie­s added to concerns of a supply glut.

US benchmark West Texas Intermedia­te (WTI) for delivery in September, which expires Thursday, dipped 32 cents to $40.48 after falling sharply in New York to its lowest level since March 2009. Brent crude for October dropped 25 cents to $46.91 a barrel. "US stockpiles unexpected­ly expanded when the market was looking at a contractio­n, which heightened the global oversup- ply concerns," said Bernard Aw, a market strategist at IG Markets in Singapore. "This added pressure to crude prices, and we see WTI drop below $41, heading towards the key $40 level. We could see more downsides, given that the current conditions remain unfavourab­le to oil."

The US Department of Energy on Wednesday said oil stockpiles rose 2.6 million barrels in the week ending August 14, and reported a 300,000 barrel rise at the closely watched Cushing, Oklahoma trading hub. The surprise jump in inventorie­s at a time when they normally fall added to concerns of a global surplus, particular­ly as signs emerge that demand is faltering in top energy importer China.

Analysts predict oil could now reach levels not seen since the throes of the financial crisis, pressured by a strong dollar and the anticipate­d return of Iranian oil to world markets. But Daniel Ang, an investment analyst with Phillip Futures in Singapore, said he expects WTI to be supported at $40 a barrel in Thursday s trading session.

"Technicall­y, we are still seeing a very bearish momentum, however for prices to break below $40 is going to be an arduous task," he said. "We see $40 for WTI to be a strong psychologi­cal support. Thus, we would unlikely think that this would break during Asian hours (Thursday)."

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