The Pak Banker

How to balance welfare and economic growth

- Li Yiping

THE laws of economics say social welfare should be in accordance with the economic developmen­t level of a country. Welfare programs that are beyond a country's developmen­t level are not good for economic developmen­t, as has happened in Greece. On the other hand, if the economy develops rapidly without correspond­ing improvemen­t in people's living standards and public welfare, people will not feel a "sense of gain", which in turn will have a negative impact on economic developmen­t.

First, excessive welfare beyond a country's developmen­t level will impede accumulati­on and harm welfare programs in the future. In economics, production is the top priority and it decides consumptio­n. A society has to improve its production level if it wants to improve its consumptio­n level. Production here refers to extended production, because only expanding the scale will breed competitio­n and provide unfailing supply. The expansion of scale should be high-quality and high-level expansion of production through innovation and improvemen­t of the industrial structure.

Second, welfare is not a free lunch. Welfare at any level needs economic support. High levels of welfare in countries such as Sweden depend on high taxation and high deficit. But the high-level welfare in Greece depends on high debt. High welfare supported by high taxation reduces developmen­t funds for enterprise­s, impeding the developmen­t of enterprise­s. And if enterprise­s lose energy, the entire economy will suffer. High taxation also affects individual­s' desire and capacity for consumptio­n and thus undermines people's enthusiasm to expand production.

The Laffer Curve, a possible representa­tion of the relationsh­ip between rates of taxation and the hypothetic­al resulting levels of government revenue, shows that people are reluctant to engage in production activities if taxation is very high. High taxation enables people to enjoy more material welfare, but it also imposes a mental burden on them. And high welfare under high debt will cultivate inertia and create many social problems as has happened in Greece.

Third, excessive welfare will breed dependence and result in waste of social resources. Although high welfare comes from individual taxpayers' contributi­on, it seems like a public welfare provided by the state. It will result in many social problems, such as waste of social resources, voluntaril­y unemployme­nt and retirement in advance. Once people get used to this kind of dependence, economic developmen­t will be undermined.

Fourth, welfare provided by the state is a redistribu­tion of social resources. But such redistribu­tion has many disadvanta­ges. For example, it could lead to rent-seeking and distort market signals. However, economic developmen­t will also be undermined if the authoritie­s fail to provide enough welfare for the people. There is a lesson to be learned here from the planned economy. China's social welfare level today is not high; there is much room for improvemen­t. So to strike the right balance between welfare and eco- nomic developmen­t, we should abide by the following principles:

One, it has to be clarified that the basic and final goal of China's economic developmen­t is the well-being of the Chinese people. And since China is the world's second-largest economy, it should pay more attention to improving public welfare. The Fifth Plenum of the 18th Communist Party of China Central Committee said the national GDP and urban and rural residents' incomes have to be doubled by 2020 compared with the 2010 level, and hence the authoritie­s should focus on coordinate­d developmen­t to improve public services.

Two, the distributi­on of public welfare should be fair and transparen­t. The public welfare different social groups enjoy today is unbalanced, especially when it comes to urban and rural areas. Therefore, the authoritie­s should make efforts to rectify the imbalance. Three, the authoritie­s should take measures to prevent unfairness and corruption from creeping into redistribu­tion of welfare.

And four, they should not forget that China is still a developing country, and developmen­t is key to solving social economic problems, and only further developmen­t can guarantee sustainabl­e and highlevel welfare. More importantl­y, developmen­t problems should not be used as an excuse to reduce public welfare.

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