The Pak Banker

Oil slips from 2016 high as investors book profits

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Oil fell slightly on Friday as investors booked profits at the end of a fourth consecutiv­e week of gains, but prices remained close to 2016 highs on expectatio­ns of a production freeze by major exporters. Brent crude's front-month contract <LCOc1> was 20 cents lower at $41.34 a barrel by 0928 GMT, having earlier touched $41.71, its highest this year.

US crude was down 10 cents at $40.10 barrel, after rising to as high as $40.55 -- higher than the previous peak of $40.36 reached on Thursday. The benchmark had surged 4.5 percent to close at $40.20 in the previous session. Oil prices have climbed by more than 50 percent from 12-year lows reached in December, bolstered as the Organizati­on of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ( OPEC) floated the idea of a production freeze, boosting Brent from about $27 and US crude from around $26.

Many analysts think there is still steam in the rally. "There is continuing jaw-boning about production cuts from OPEC members and inventorie­s are now coming in at the lower end, rather than the higher end of expectatio­ns," said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC markets.

Crude inventorie­s in the United States <USOILC=ECI> increased by 1.3 million barrels in the week to March 11, to a record high of 523.2 million barrels, though that was a much smaller build than the 3.4 million barrels expected by ana- lysts, the Energy Informatio­n Administra­tion said on Wednesday. US oil is heading for a fifth week of gains, while Brent is on course for a fourth weekly increase, the longest rising streak in about a year for both benchmarks.

Other analysts, however, urged caution after the strong gains. "Global fundamenta­ls are little changed and oil has instead been lifted by higher riskappeti­te," BNP Paribas said in a note. "A dialogue among key producing countries to address oil output will at best yield a decision to freeze output, but not the much- needed reduction required to rebalance the market." BNP estimates that there will be a 1 million barrel increase in global stocks by the end of the first half of 2016.

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