The Pak Banker

Japan 10-year yield drops to record

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Investors at home and abroad can't get enough 10-year Japanese government bonds, driving the yield to an unpreceden­ted minus 0.135 percent.

Yields sank across the curve Friday after the Bank of Japan's operation to buy long-term debt met the lowest investor participat­ion on record, spurring what Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategist Shuichi Ohsaki called "panic buying." The yield on the benchmark 2026 notes sank as much as 8 1/2 basis points Friday to below the minus 0.1 percent deposit rate introduced by the central bank last month, while that on 20-year securities tumbled more than 10 basis points to an unpreceden­ted 0.29 percent.

Heightened investor demand is exacerbati­ng the already dwindling supply of bonds in the market. Japanese investors are being forced to keep money at home despite record-low yields because of rising hedging costs that by one measure stands at the highest since 2009.

Meanwhile, dollar-wielding global investors are able to use favorable cross-currency basisswap rates to turn Japan's 10year yield into a fixed coupon equivalent of 2.6 percent.

Investors are buying shorterdat­ed debt "as there aren't enough 30-year, 20-year bonds available," said Tadashi Matsukawa, the Tokyo-based head of fixed-income investment at PineBridge Investment­s Japan. "It goes to show how the BOJ's negative interest-rate policy is so strong." Yields on 10year government bonds fell 5 basis points to minus 0.10 percent as of 5:28 p.m. in Tokyo from Thursday, after touching the record low, according to Japan Bond Trading Co. The price rose 0.512 yen to 102.018.

Ten-year bonds look relatively cheap compared with other tenors, attracting buyers, Bank of America Merrill Lynch's Ohsaki said. Overseas investors bought a net 994 billion yen ($8.9 billion) in Japanese bonds during the week ended March 11, the most in a month, according to Ministry of Finance data on Thursday.

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