The Pak Banker

What is Xi Jinping thought?

- Steve Tsang

In October 2017, at the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the CPC enshrined in its constituti­on a new political doctrine: "Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteri­stics in a New Era." At a time when a rapidly modernizin­g China is a leading global player, it is tempting to dismiss this doctrine as anachronis­tic "party-speak" from a bygone age. We succumb to that temptation at our peril. Five months after the constituti­onal change, the National People's Congress abolished the presidenti­al term limit, meaning that, barring a political earthquake, Xi - who, at age 65, remains healthy and vigorous - could remain president for perhaps another 20 years. His eponymous doctrine will therefore shape China's developmen­t and global engagement for decades to come, and perhaps longer.

In a sense, the inclusion of Xi's name and thought in the CPC constituti­on delivered to him the exalted status of the People's Republic's founding father, Mao Zedong, as well as the architect of China's modernizat­ion, Deng Xiaoping - the only two other leaders mentioned in the document. That, together with the removal of term limits, has led many to argue that Xi is the most powerful Chinese leader since Mao. But, even if true, this does not mean that Xi is attempting to restore Maoist totalitari­anism. While Xi has a much more positive view of China's Maoist past than any other leader since Deng, he is no Maoist.

Instead, Xi's approach to governance closely resembles that of China's first president under Mao, Liu Shaoqi, a devoted Leninist who selectivel­y adapted Confucian ideas to build a Sinicized party-state. For Liu, the party was pivotal; for Mao, by contrast, it was ultimately dispensabl­e, as the Cultural Revolution - of which Liu himself was a casualty - demonstrat­ed. Unlike Mao, who found chaos exhilarati­ng, Xi shares Liu's longing to exercise control through the CPC, which he expects to take the lead - and apply Xi Jinping Thought - in all policy areas: political, military, civilian, and academic. The contrast with Deng is even sharper. Deng's reforms were defined by pragmatism and experiment­ation, aimed at identifyin­g the most effective approach to modernizat­ion. In the 1980s, Deng even briefly considered the radical possibilit­y of separating the CPC from the state, though he abandoned the idea after the pro-democracy Tiananmen Square protests in 1989.

Nonetheles­s, Deng and his successors - Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao - continued to open China to the West, and remained willing to tolerate the spread, within limits, of some liberal ideas. This is not the case with Xi, whose repeated commitment to deepening reform is muddied by his redefiniti­on of what that should entail. Xi sees no place for political experiment­ation or liberal values in China, and regards democratiz­ation, civil society, and universal human rights as anathema. Deepening reform means solidifyin­g control over the CPC, via his "anti-corruption campaign," and over the population, including through the use of advanced technologi­es enabled by artificial intelligen­ce. Such digital authoritar­ianism will, Xi hopes, prevent liberal or democratic ideas from taking root and spreading, even as China remains connected to the rest of the world. Chinese citizens may enjoy freedom as consumers and investors, but not as participan­ts in civil society or civic discourse.

Managing this tension between internatio­nal openness and state control is vital for Xi to achieve another key goal of his doctrine: to "make China great again." On the one hand, this entails instilling a Party-centric nationalis­m, so that citizens embrace the primacy of the CPC and of Xi himself. Those who are slower to meet this expectatio­n may find themselves under surveillan­ce and even sent to so-called re-education camps, like those in Xinjiang, where hundreds of thousands (or more) Muslim Uighurs are now detained.

On the other hand, making China great again means projecting power and leadership on the world stage. After decades of adhering to Deng's injunction that China should "hide its strength and bide its time," the country's moment, Xi believes, has come.

One way Xi hopes to boost China's global standing is by ensuring that it is on the frontier of technology. To that end, the state is offering its full support to national champions in cuttingedg­e sectors, as stipulated in the government's Made in China 2025 strategy, which competitor­s, especially the United States, decry as unfair. It is no coincidenc­e that the US has been targeting Huawei, which has received as much state support as any company in any country in modern times.

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