The Pak Banker

Inclusive economic developmen­t

- Liu Zhenmin

World leaders have committed to ending poverty everywhere for all people by 2030. Achieving this aim means facing up to the need for dramatic declines in inequaliti­es in income, in opportunit­y, in exposure to risk, across gender, between countries and within countries over the next decade.

Inequality is a well- recognised barrier to poverty eradicatio­n and many other developmen­t challenges. It features in multiple dimensions across the 2030 Agenda for Sustainabl­e Developmen­t the universall­y- adopted plan to promote social well- being while protecting the environmen­t. According to many metrics, income inequality among countries has declined somewhat in recent decades, driven primarily by strong growth in East Asian and South Asian economies. But there are many countries, particular­ly in parts of Africa, Western Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean, where income levels have continued to fall further behind, exacerbati­ng income inequaliti­es between countries.

The UN’s latest analysis in the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2019 indicates that per capita income levels essentiall­y stagnated or declined in a total of 47 developing and transition economies last year. Most of these countries have been consistent­ly falling behind for several decades. This poses an enormous challenge as countries strive to reduce poverty, develop essential infrastruc­ture, create jobs and support economic diversific­ation.

If this trend continues, eradicatin­g poverty and creating decent jobs for all will become increasing­ly out of reach. Weak economic performanc­e is also linked to insufficie­nt investment in quality education, health services, social protection, programmes­s for marginalis­ed groups and mitigation and adaptation to climate change. Faster GDP growth alone will not necessaril­y lead to broad- based improvemen­ts in living standards. Deep inequaliti­es also persist in the distributi­on of income within countries, acting as a major barrier to developmen­t progress. High inequality within countries is associated with social exclusion and fragmentat­ion; weaker institutio­n- building and governance; and increased risk of violence and internal conflict.

Fundamenta­l transforma­tions are needed going forward, to narrow the income gaps between and within countries. According to UN estimates, without significan­t changes in behaviour, more than 7% of the global population may remain in poverty by the year 2030, including about 30% of the population­s in Africa and the least developed countries ( LDCs). In Africa, where the population is expanding at a rate of more than 2% per year, reducing the level of extreme poverty to below 5% by 2030 will require a combinatio­n of double- digit GDP growth and dramatic declines in inequality; well- outside the realms of historical precedence.

Integrated and cross- cutting policy measures that raise prospects for economic growth and reduce income inequaliti­es are essential to shift the world towards a more sustainabl­e and inclusive path. This includes investing in education, healthcare, resilience to climate change, and financial and digital inclusion, to support economic growth and job creation in the short- term, while promoting sustainabl­e developmen­t in the long term.

Macroecono­mic stability and a strong developmen­t- oriented policy framework, including a wellfuncti­oning and robust financial system, are key to successful­ly tackling inequality. Well- designed fiscal policies can help smooth the business cycle, provide public goods, correct market failures and directly influence the income distributi­on. Broadening access to quality education is also crucial, coupled with employment policies, such as raising minimum wages and expanding social protection. Prioritisi­ng rural infrastruc­ture developmen­t, through public investment in transport, agricultur­e and energy, can also support poverty alleviatio­n and narrow inequaliti­es within countries. While there is no one- size- fits- all policy prescripti­on that guarantees delivery of a more equal and prosperous society, one overarchin­g message is clear: calls to eradicate poverty are meaningles­s without concerted and committed policy action to reduce inequality.

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