The Pak Banker

Greek economy to grow 2.8pc in 2020: draft budget

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Greece expects its economy to grow by 2.8 percent in 2020 whilst respecting fiscal pledges to the country's creditors, a draft budget released Monday said. The draft also forecasts an unemployme­nt fall to 15.6 percent from 17.4 percent this year, the finance ministry said.

EU-IMF creditors want Greece to pursue economic and fiscal reforms and privatisat­ions and achieve primary budget surpluses - which exclude government debt interest payments - worth 3.5 percent of GDP in the coming years. Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis wants to renegotiat­e this target with the creditors - but has agreed to retain it in 2020 to the tune of 3.56 percent, the ministry said.

As Greece recovers from a six-year recession and a nearly decade-long debt crisis, the economy remains fragile.

Emerging from its third straight bailout last year, it has a public debt of more than 180 percent of gross domestic product, and remains under strict supervisio­n by its creditors. Outgoing IMF chief Christine Lagarde last month called the 3.5 percent level "excessive" and an obstacle to Greek economic recovery.

Elected in July on a platform of boosting economic growth and investment, Mitsotakis' new conservati­ve government has made boosting slugging growth a priority, powered by tax cuts and accompanie­d by privatisat­ion deals. The administra­tion also seeks to capitalise on decadelow borrowing rates on Greek debt. Within days of taking office, it sold a 7-year-bond at a record low yield of 1.9 percent.

It was the third bond sale this year, a first since Greece's economic crisis erupted in 2010. Greece has also requested to repay 2.8 billion euros in IMF loans before to save interest rate costs. After a decadelong crisis, painful reforms and 289 billion euros ($330 billion) in rescue loans, the country exited its third and final internatio­nal bailout in August 2018.

Meanwhile, Greece sold 488 million euros ($535.82 million) of three-month treasury bills to refinance a maturing issue with the yield turning negative for the first time ever, the country's debt agency PDMA said on Wednesday.

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