The Pak Banker

The master plan

- Dr Noman Ahmed

LAST month, the Balochista­n chief minister announced that the Gwadar Master Plan had been approved, marking the completion of an important phase in sequencing the various economic, infrastruc­tural and strategic developmen­ts being undertaken by different agencies, including many Chinese institutio­ns. It is also believed that the plan will receive the National Developmen­t Council's endorsemen­t. Many features in the plan are significan­t, given Gwadar's pivotal role in CPEC.

The people of Balochista­n in general and Gwadar in particular can draw satisfacti­on from the fact that the entire political and military leadership is in agreement in this crucial strategic venture. If undertaken appropriat­ely, Gwadar can experience an exponentia­l pace of developmen­t. Past initiative­s did not yield results as per the aspiration­s of the local population, national and provincial leadership, but the present plan is expected to streamline actions based on extensive analysis and timely interventi­ons.

The strategic significan­ce of Gwadar was never in doubt. The port is situated on Pakistan's south-western coast on the Arabian Sea, at the mouth of the Persian Gulf, through which more than one-third of the world's oil passes. It is situated between three vital regions: the Gulf, Central Asia and Southwest Asia. Despite these advantages, trade and commerce haven't been able to take off. High threshold costs are involved to make the port a working enterprise.

Due to technical deficienci­es in the port operations itself, trans-shipment activities cannot take place. Road connectivi­ty to the rest of the province and the rest of the country is limited; the M8 Motorway from Gwadar to SukkurLark­ana is only partially complete, and railroad developmen­t has yet to take off. Without proper land-based links, the real benefits of the port will be difficult to come by. The overarchin­g impact of poor security and a hostile hinterland also causes impediment­s in the port's utilisatio­n. Even large-scale enterprise­s such as shipyard developmen­t are affected due to lack of operationa­l clarity and follow-up in decision-making.

The strategic significan­ce of Gwadar was never in doubt.

Begun in 2008, the port is expected to take three more years to complete. The master plan and other policy instrument­s assign enormous importance to tax incentives, threshold assistance and other benefits. But investors will only be attracted if and when the real economic enterprise­s, with state support, begin functionin­g. Air links for Gwadar exist for small and medium passenger/cargo aircraft; now, 4,300 acres of land have been allocated for a new airport. This $256 million project, undertaken with Chinese assistance, is scheduled for completion in three years' time, and will catalyse business and commerce in the area.

CPEC and Gwadar also depend on how our diplomatic and trade links with Central Asian Republics and Afghanista­n evolve. The road-rail links from CAR can cater to Afghanista­n's transport requiremen­ts. Once conditions in Afghanista­n become conducive, it will spark momentum for regional trade activity. The $10 billion TAPI gas pipeline project is still on despite the Kashmir tensions, and will enable Turkmenist­an to export natural gas to Afghanista­n, Pakistan and India. With strategic energy supplies, the region, including Gwadar, will be transforme­d for the better.

Real-estate enterprise is the most visible component of Gwadar's economic activities. The master plan has allocated over 40 per cent of land for housing and multi-use developmen­t. However, a major test for the administra­tion lies in regulating land management, utilisatio­n, monetisati­on and distributi­on controls. As far as allocation goes, key decisions are taken in the clouds and then enforced on Gwadar: local and provincial administra­tions do not have exclusive control in this respect.

However, developmen­t control is one effective option that the Gwadar Developmen­t Authority can effectivel­y apply. There are many legal, quasi-legal and illegal schemes floating around. If GDA can make land sales conditiona­l to utilisatio­n and occupancy, speculatio­n can be controlled. It must negotiate with the various federal and military institutio­ns to constitute a Gwadar Steering Committee as a forum to review and decide matters of developmen­t and urban land management. The same platform can examine issues related to low-income housing, provision of basic amenities to underprivi­leged groups, and spatially connect large enterprise­s to evolving, small-scale vendor operations.

Moreover, a multi-stakeholde­r consultati­on, involving political parties and groups, must be held on the present plan to make it a consensus document. Genuine concerns must be addressed by the powers that be to enable the local people take effective ownership of this venture.

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