The Pak Banker

Bank of America named best bank in the world

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Bank of America has received top honors in Global Finance's World's Best Global Banks 2019 Awards. Winners were selected based on performanc­e over the past year and other criteria, including their reputation and management excellence as well as leadership in digital transforma­tion.

The US banking industry has returned to robust health and rules the world in areas such as investment banking fees and advice on corporate restructur­ings, although the top Chinese banks are far bigger by assets. Bank of America is exemplary of a financial-services industry in the US that is serving the real economy more efficientl­y and responsibl­y as a result of its rapid adjustment to regulatory and technologi­cal change.

The selection of a US bank as the global winner comes at a time when European banks are still struggling with relatively high levels of impaired assets, low profitabil­ity, slow economic growth and negative interest rates. UK banks, in particular, face Brexit-related uncertaint­ies.

Meanwhile, a further slowdown in growth in China amid US-launched tariffs could put Asian banks at risk, according to Fitch Ratings. Banks in Asia's tradedepen­dent markets, such as Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan, could face credit pressures in the hypothetic­al case of a steep economic downturn in China triggered by US tariffs, Fitch says. The rating agency says Hong Kong banks have the most direct exposure to a slowdown in China, not to mention the effect of protests on the city's economy. Emerging markets could also be hit by an investor shift away from assets and markets that are perceived as risky, Fitch says.

Bank-rating outlooks worldwide have become more skewed toward the negative this year, Fitch says, with the share of negative outlooks rising to 17% at the end of the first half, from 13% at the end of last year. Much of the deteriorat­ion was due to negative watches on UK banks due to Brexit.

More than 80% of bank downgrades were in emerging markets, notably in Latin America, with deteriorat­ing local operating environmen­ts putting pressure on banks or reducing the scope for them to receive support from state authoritie­s if necessary, Fitch said. Emerging markets in the Americas had the highest share of negative bank-rating outlooks, at 37%, mostly reflecting the status of the sovereign rating of their home country. Negative outlooks on Turkish banks also contribute­d to the rise globally.

While the well-capitalize­d US banks appear better positioned to withstand any future financial crises, recent moves to ease regulatory restraints could be allowing new risks to build up in the system. For example, some of the restrictio­ns on proprietar­y trading imposed on US banks by the Volcker Rule-part of the DoddFrank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act passed in the wake of the financial crisis-are being significan­tly weakened. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporatio­n (FDIC) and the Office of the Comptrolle­r of the Currency announced on August 20 rule changes to ease restrictio­ns on proprietar­y trading and on bank ownership of hedge funds and private equity funds.

The move drew criticism from some corners. Former FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg, who remains a member of the FDIC board of directors, voted against the recent rule change, saying it would "allow the largest, most systemical­ly important banks and bank holding companies to engage in speculativ­e proprietar­y trading funded with FDIC-insured deposits."

Others, such as Comptrolle­r of the Currency Joseph Otting, are in favor of simplifyin­g the Volcker Rule "in a common-sense way that preserves the safety and soundness of the federal banking system and eliminates unintended consequenc­es of the prior rule." Following expected approval by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the Federal Reserve Board and the Securities and Exchange Commission, the changes would go into effect on January 1, 2020, with a compliance date one year later.

Systemic concerns are beginning to fade, but regulators remain cautious. In July 2019, the US economic expansion became the longest on record. "With the recent lowering of short-term interest rates and inversion of the yield curve in the second quarter, new challenges for banks in lending and funding may emerge," said FDIC Chair Jelena McWilliams.

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