The Pak Banker

Deutsche Bank suffers heavy third quarter loss

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Germany's biggest lender Deutsche Bank reported Wednesday a heavy net loss in the third quarter, as the costs of its latest phase of restructur­ing weigh on the bottom line. The group lost 859 million euros ($954 million) in JulySeptem­ber, down from a profit of 211 million last year.

The bank also saw a pre-tax loss of 687 million euros, compared with a gain of 506 million in 2018.

And revenues fell 15 percent, to 5.3 billion. But chief executive Christian Sewing highlighte­d that the so-called "core bank" of four businesses Deutsche plans to maintain into the future was profitable.

Among those units, the former flagship investment bank remained the lender's problem child, with falling revenues and profits as it closed share trading activities.

Elsewhere the retail bank and asset management unit also reported falling revenues, although the corporate bank provided a bright spot of growth. Costs grew four percent, including outlays of some 234 million euros linked to departing staff, but fell back four percent when counting out such one-off effects.

By the end of September, Deutsche had 89,958 staff, down 1,000 compared with June's figure, when it announced 18,000 -- around one-fifth of workers -- would leave.

Weighed down by both the restructur­ing and business headwinds, Deutsche's net losses in the year to September mounted to 3.9 billion euros.

Meanwhile, Asian markets slipped as traders play a wait-and-see game ahead of the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision, with expectatio­ns of another interest rate cut but focus also on its plans for the future. Expectatio­ns for another drop in borrowing costs, along with optimism over the China-US trade talks and healthy corporate reports have provided much-needed support to equities of late after a volatile year.

However, while the general consensus is for a third reduction this year, there is a concern that the upbeat earnings, progress on trade and signs of resilience in the US economy could keep the central bank from further measures.

This makes Fed boss Jerome Powell's post-meeting statement crucial, with dealers poring over his every word.

"I don't think we should fear a hawkish cut," said Carol Schleif, at Abbot Downing Investment Advisors, told Bloomberg TV.

"I do think one of the things to keep in mind, relative to the prior cut periods, is the Fed starting from a much lower rate so there is a lot less room for the Fed to continue to cut."

Most markets were down, with investors having already factored in a cut. Hong Kong fell 0.4 percent while Shanghai ended down 0.5 percent and Tokyo gave up 0.6 percent.

Sydney dropped 0.8 percent, Seoul shed 0.6 percent and Manila was off 0.1 percent.

There were gains, however, in Singapore, Mumbai, Taipei, Bangkok and Jakarta.

Sterling was flat but supported by relief that Britain is unlikely to leave the European Union without a deal after the bloc's leaders granted a three-month extension to the deadline and MPs voted for a general election in December.

Boris Johnson finally got his snap poll after the opposition Labour Party said it was satisfied a no-deal divorce was now off the table. The prime minister is optimistic his Conservati­ves will get a clear majority in the vote that will allow him to push his Brexit agreement through parliament and drag the country out of the EU after years of deadlock.

A Conservati­ve "majority is arguably the most sterling-positive outcome, initially at least, in so far as it means the government withdrawal bill can then be passed and the UK ' Brexits' no later than

January 31, with a transition deal lasting through end-2020," said National Australia Bank analyst Ray Attrill. But he added "there will remain a high degree of uncertaint­y over what a post-Brexit UK-EU trading relationsh­ip will look like come 2021".

However, while Johnson is well ahead in opinion polls there were warnings that there could still be an upset, similar to 2017 when then-PM Theresa May's gamble backfired and left the country with a hung parliament. David Madden, market analyst at CMC Markets UK, said: "Politics has become so polarised in the UK in the last few years, there are concerns in some quarters that no clear majority could be returned to Westminste­r."

Another such result would reignite the chances of a no-deal and hammer the pound.

"The market seems to be making assumption­s about the outcome of the UK general election," said AxiTrader's Stephen Innes. "Indeed, all the polls point to a solid victory for Boris Johnson, but we have been down this road before, and history should remind us that when it comes to UK elections, strange things can happen." In early trade London's FTSE dipped 0.2 percent and Frankfurt eased 0.1 percent but Paris rose 0.2 percent.

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