The Pak Banker

Building resilience

- Jeff Schlegelmi­lch and Irwin Redlener

The scourge of wildfires yet again in California has the hallmarks of recurrent disaster nightmare for America's most populous state. Last year's fire season - in which the Camp Fire took more than 80 lives in the devastated town of Paradise alone - may have been the first glimpse into a future of almost dystopian threats to communitie­s throughout the state, and the nation. However, from understand­ing the complexity of the causes of these events, there is an opportunit­y to re-write the way California approaches wildfires. In doing so, they can also provide a much needed roadmap for resilience for the rest of the nation.

There is no question that the climate crisis with increasing­ly dry, increasing­ly flammable woodland fuel and rising surface temperatur­es is contributi­ng to more wildfires in California and elsewhere. Moreover, while we focus on renewable energy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, trying to prevent climate change can sometimes undermine the ability to adapt to the changes already taking place. In the case of California, some are praising the ability to keep the lights on with solar power and battery storage technologi­es, while others blame green energy policy on extensive infrastruc­ture connecting urban areas to wind farms, and investing in renewable energy rather than in bolstering the safety of the existing infrastruc­ture.

The fact is that both of these perspectiv­es are correct. Renewable energy at the community and household level creates more options to keep the lights on when the grid goes down; to accelerate a transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy at the expense of safety puts communitie­s and lives at risk during that transition. While public utilities are often the focus of our frustratio­n in these kinds of disasters, they are not the only culprits involved. Government regulation­s and political promises set the priorities and nudge economic developmen­t to meet some combinatio­n of the public good and electoral strategies. However, these priorities are not always conducive to integratin­g the nuances of disaster resilience or investing in stuff, like electricit­y, that seems to work fine at the moment.

The private sector is as much a part of building disaster resilience as the government agencies. This is not limited to the utility providers. Bonds and other financial instrument­s for developmen­t often do not adequately account for disaster risks when firms underwrite building communitie­s in vulnerable areas. Developers are also often more incentiviz­ed to build than to build resilience. There are more problems that the state of California needs to address, too. Better warning systems that advise people when the must immediatel­y evacuate, more resilient cell phone towers, more road egress alternativ­es to allow for faster evacuation­s, more regulation­s and financial incentives for housing constructi­on that may reduce rapid burning, insurance regulation­s that will disincenti­vize people who would prefer to live in the highest fire threat areas and so on.

There is a now a window where the interests of investors, politician­s and voters are likely aligned towards building resilience and keeping this from happening again.

Gov. Gary Newsom (D) and the state of California have the opportunit­y to take these ongoing threats, and re-frame how we approach disasters. Building resilience with strong partnershi­ps with the private sector, integratin­g vulnerabil­ity and climate change into the costs of economic developmen­t, investing in modernizin­g infrastruc­ture are all spoken of conceptual­ly, but lack a blueprint for making it happen. California is burning. Putting the fires out will be hard, but keeping them from burning again will be even harder. What is done next will determine how California and the nation fare in whatever disaster comes next. Jeff Schlegelmi­lch is the deputy director of the National Center for Disaster Preparedne­ss at Columbia University's Earth Institute.

Follow him on twitter @jeffschleg­el Irwin Redlener, M.D. is the director at the NCDP and professor of Health Policy and Management at the Mailman School of Public Health at Columbia University. Follow him on Twitter @IrwinRedle­nerMD.

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