The Pak Banker

US stocks rise as Trump says trade deal near

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Global equity markets and the dollar rose as U.S. President Donald Trump reiterated the United States is close to signing a trade deal with China but offered no new details. Markets had been on edge about Trump's highly anticipate­d remarks to The Economic Club of New York, but barely moved after the speech, which contained no major policy announceme­nts.

Trump touted his administra­tion's economic record in a campaign-style speech but did not announce a venue or date for signing a trade deal with Chinese

President Xi Jinping as rumors had suggested he might. Rising technology shares helped Wall Street hit record highs while European shares edged back toward fouryear highs. MSCI's gauge of worldwide equity performanc­e climbed to almost 1% shy of a record peak set in January 2018, before paring gains.

Trade-sensitive chipmakers helped pushed Europe's STOXX 600 up 0.38% as the Philadelph­ia semiconduc­tor index rose almost 1% but then pared gains on to trade 0.06% higher. Overnight in Asia, MSCI's broadest measure of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan climbed 0.5% while Japan's Nikkei ended 0.8% higher.

Greg Anderson, global head of foreign exchange strategy at BMO Capital Markets, said nothing new was announced in Trump's speech. "The only thing that's maybe new is that he did not announce a date and a time for a signing ceremony. Where markets had been hoping for that, those hopes were dashed," Anderson said.

Markets have been focused on a U.S.China trade deal but improving economic data has provided upside too, said Candice Bangsund, a global asset allocation strategist at Fiera Capital in Montreal.

"There's been so much pessimism on the state of the global economy that earnings or fundamenta­ls matter very little when it comes to equity gains this year," Bangsund said. "Going forward, we expect that fundamenta­ls should prevail. That's going to drive the next up leg."

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.12%. In Europe, the FTSEurofir­st 3000 index of leading regional shares closed up 0.42%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 13.69 points, or 0.05%, to 27,677.8. The S&P 500 gained 2.63 points, or 0.09%, to 3,089.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 13.47 points, or 0.16%, to 8,477.75.

Investors were also anxious about Hong Kong after a violent escalation of protests knocked 3% off the key Hang

Seng index and nearly 2% off Asiaexpose­d banks HSBC and StanChart in recent days. Hong Kong's embattled leader Carrie Lam said protesters who were trying to "paralyze" the city were extremely selfish and hoped all universiti­es and schools would urge students not to participat­e in violence.

U.S. Treasury yields held below threemonth highs after Trump's speech. A holiday in the United States had closed the Treasury market but there was an early milestone as the gap between short-term 3month and longer-term 10-year yields hit the widest level of the year so far.

That steepening of the yield curve adds to signs that fears of recession were receding. "Recession fears are misplaced. We are not ripe for an extended bear market," Bangsund said. Treasury yields on 10-year notes fell to 1.9173%. European yields were a touch higher.

The dollar was little changed after Trump spoke, remaining mostly higher on the day. The dollar index rose 0.14%, with the euro down 0.24% to $1.1006. The Japanese yen strengthen­ed 0.05% versus the greenback at 109.01 per dollar.

Gold slipped to its lowest in more than three months on increased appetite for riskier assets. U.S. gold futures settled down 0.2% at $1,453.70 per ounce.

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