The Pak Banker

Asian stocks retreat as China's growth slowdown deepens

Oil gains on US crude stocks fall

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Asian stocks fell on Thursday after soft economic data in China and Japan showed the trade war between Beijing and Washington hitting growth in some of the world's biggest economies.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.3%. Japan's Nikkei stock index fell further, dropping 0.8%. Australia's S&P/ASX200 wiped earlier gains to close 0.5% higher, while Shanghai blue chips trod water, supported by expectatio­ns the gloomy figures would add to the case for stimulus.

European stock futures point to a flat open after recent rises. U.S. futures were down 0.1%, following a record-high close on the S&P 500.

China's industrial production growth slowed sharply in October, with the 4.7% yearon-year rise well below forecasts for 5.4%. Investment growth hit a record low and retail sales also missed expectatio­ns.

"The weakness in investment and production would suggest that confidence is down," said Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP Capital in Sydney.

"It puts more pressure on Chinese authoritie­s to come to a deal with Donald Trump on trade, just as President Trump's desire to be re-elected puts pressure on him to come to a deal."

The weak figures also come as market confidence toward a resolution weakens, with a new Reuters poll showing most economists do not expect Washington and Beijing to strike a permanent truce over the coming year.

Trump offered no update on the progress of negotiatio­ns in a policy speech. The Wall Street Journal reported that talks had snagged on farm purchases.

Meanwhile, the global fallout from the dispute is widening.

Data due at 0700 GMT will reveal whether Germany has entered a technical recession, as forecast.

Japan's economic growth hit its slowest pace in a year in the third quarter as soft demand knocked exports.

"Looking around the region, you've had some near misses of recession - Korea's been one, Singapore's also been one and you've got Hong Kong in a recession at the moment," said Sean Darby, global equity strategist at

Jefferies in Hong Kong.

"So it's not great. It's not a cycle that is not leaving any scars," he said.

Worries about spiraling violence as anti-government protests intensify in Hong Kong have also soured investor sentiment.

Protesters paralyzed parts of Hong Kong for a fourth day on Thursday, forcing school closures and blocking highways and other transport links in a marked escalation of unrest in the financial hub.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.8% on Thursday to a fresh one-month low.

In currency markets, safe havens such as the Japanese yen and Swiss franc held on to gains.

The yen was quoted at 108.70 per dollar, close to a one-week high. The Swiss franc traded at 0.9900 versus the greenback, near the highest in more than a week.

The Australian dollar skidded to a one-month low on Thursday after a worryingly weak reading on employment re-ignited speculatio­n about another cut in interest rates.

Brent crude futures rose 0.6% to $62.76 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermedia­te (WTI) crude gained 0.63% to $57.48 per barrel.

Oil rose on Thursday after industry data showed a surprise drop in U.S. crude inventorie­s, while comments from an OPEC official about lowerthan-expected U.S. shale production growth in 2020 also provided some support.

Prices, however, were capped by mixed signs for oil demand in China, the world's biggest crude importer, as industrial output rose more slowly than expected in October, but oil refinery throughput hit the second-highest level ever. Brent futures LCOc1 rose 39 cents, or 0.6%, to $62.76 per barrel by 0606 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermedia­te crude CLc1 gained 39 cents, or 0.7%, to reach $57.51.

The Secretary General of the Organizati­on of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Mohammad Barkindo said that there would likely be downward revisions of supply going into 2020, especially from United States shale, adding that some U.S. shale oil firms see output growing by only 300,000400,000 barrels per day (bpd). While Barkindo's comments supported oil prices, there is not a clear way for OPEC to forecast oil production outside the group, Howie Lee, an economist at Singapore's OCBC bank said.

 ?? -AFP ?? A supporter of Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro fights with an opposition leader Juan Guaido's supporter outside Venezuelan embassy in Brasilia, Brazil.
-AFP A supporter of Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro fights with an opposition leader Juan Guaido's supporter outside Venezuelan embassy in Brasilia, Brazil.

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