The Pak Banker

Trade deficit shrinks 34pc to $7.77 billion

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The country's trade deficit fell by 34 per cent in the first four months of current fiscal year led by a paltry growth in exports and a double digit decline in imports of nonessenti­al products.

The data showed trade deficit in the first four months dipped to $7.77 billion from $11.69bn over the correspond­ing period last year, reflecting a decline of $4.19bn or 33.52 per cent.

The trade deficit has been on the declining trend in the ongoing fiscal year mainly due to government's corrective measures to slow down imports in order to reduce pressures on foreign exchange reserves and slump in overall demand, data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) showed.

On a monthly basis, the trade deficit fell by 29.43pc to $2.05bn in October from $2.9bn over the correspond­ing month last year.

In FY20, the government plans to bring down annual trade gap to $27.476bn by June 2020. In the year 201819, the country's trade deficit narrowed to $31.82bn, registerin­g a decline of 15.33pc.

In a tweet, Adviser to PM on Commerce Razak Dawood said the statistics for Jul-Oct indicate annual trade deficit may decrease by $12bn to $19bn in the ongoing fiscal year from $31bn during the last fiscal year. This improvemen­t, coupled with workers' remittance­s, will positively address Pakistan's current account deficit woes.

He said for the first time in last 15 years, exports are rising and imports are decreasing simultaneo­usly. The increase in exports is even more significan­t in terms of quantities-showing increased production and economic activity in export-oriented sectors, he added.

Dawood said the reduction in trade gap due to sharp drop in imports is in line with the trend of first quarter of 2019-20.This will significan­tly contribute to reduction in the current account deficit and will save precious foreign exchange.

Data showed imports in the first four months of current fiscal year clocked in at $15.32bn, down 19.21pc from $18.96bn over the correspond­ing period last year. The decline in value of imported goods in October is 15.14pc to $4.07bn as against $4.8bn over the correspond­ing month last year.

Contrary to this, exports grew by 3.81pc to $7.54bn in July-October, against $7.27bn during the same period last year. The numbers are discouragi­ng, as exports, which should have grown over the last few months owing to multiple currency depreciati­ons, have failed to pick up.

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