The Pak Banker

US farm bankruptci­es at highest since 2011

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While U.S. stock market is soaring to new record highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.80% hitting 28,000 on Friday, farmers are having trouble paying their bills in the heart of America's agricultur­al sector.

Farms incomes are falling in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, and portions of western Missouri and northern New Mexico, according to the Kansas City Federal Reserve. Farm income fell in each state within the district from a year ago and credit conditions in the Federal Reserve's Tenth District deteriorat­ed in the third quarter despite an increase in the price of certain commoditie­s and additional government aid to farmers.

Farm household spending and capital spending both declined, with bankers in the Kansas Fed's region saying they expect the trends to continue. Farmers have struggled to escape a downturn that began in 2013, a slump made worse by President Trump's trade war with China, Mexico and Canada that cut exports and depressed already low prices, while extreme weather including flooding, a freeze, and drought early in 2019 added to farming woes.

In other districts such as Iowa, farm finances are also faltering. About 85% of Iowa land is used for farmland and it's ranked first in U.S. corn and egg production and one-third of the country's hogs are raised in Iowa.

Iowa farm debt hit $18.9 billion in the second quarter, the highest level in the nation, according to Ohio State University agricultur­al lending data.

Despite President Trump's agricultur­e bailouts, Iowa farmers continue to see their financial condition erode, with 44% of producers last year struggling to cover their bills, an Iowa State University report shows.

"It's very, very concerning," said Alejandro Plastina, the Iowa State agricultur­al economist who conducted the study. "It's getting harder and harder for farm operations to cash-flow their business." Plastina expects farmers' struggles to continue this year, with a tough growing season and dim prospects for improved prices. Record spring rain hampered planting, leaving nearly 464,000 acres unplanted. And the fall harvest has been slowed by rain, sub-freezing temperatur­es and snow.

The Trump administra­tion rolled out a total of $28 billion in farm assistance packages over the past two years to offset losses due to the trade war, but Plastina said the assistance Iowa farmers received has only slowed, but not reversed, the trend of financial decline for farmers.

Farmers have worked to lower costs and restructur­e debt, shrinking payments and freeing up cash. Some growers also have sold unneeded equipment and land to keep operations afloat.

Nationwide U.S. farm bankruptci­es in September surged 24% to their highest level since 2011 amid strains from President Trump's trade war with China and a year of wild weather.

In the 12 months through September, there were 580 Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings, the most since 2011, the American Farm Bureau Federation reports. Wisconsin, which was among the top five milk-producing states in 2018, had the highest number: 48.

The U.S. Department of Agricultur­e projects farm income in 2019 to reach $88 billion - the highest net farm income since 2014's $92 billion, but still 29% below 2013's record high.

Growers are becoming increasing­ly dependent on trade aid and other federal programs for income, according to figures in a report by the American Farm Bureau Federation, the nation's largest general farm organizati­on. Nearly 40% of that income - some $33 billion in total -- is related to the federal government­s trade assistance, disaster assistance, the farm bill subsidies, and insurance indemnitie­s and has yet to be fully received by farmers and ranchers.

 ?? -AFP ?? Traders work on the floor of New York Stock Exchange.
-AFP Traders work on the floor of New York Stock Exchange.

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