The Pak Banker

The greatest scam in history

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Ia tale for all time. What might be the greatest scam in history or, at least, the one that threatens to take history down with it. Think of it as the climate-change scam that beat science, big time.

Scientists have been seriously investigat­ing the subject of human-made climate change since the late 1950s, and political leaders have been discussing it for nearly as long. In 1961, Alvin Weinberg, the director of the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, called carbon dioxide one of the "big problems" of the world "on whose solution the entire future of the human race depends." Fast-forward nearly 30 years and, in 1992, US president George H W Bush signed the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), promising "concrete action to protect the planet."

Today, with Puerto Rico still recovering from Hurricane Maria and fires burning across California, we know that did not happen. Despite hundreds of scientific reports and assessment­s, tens of thousands of peerreview­ed scientific papers, and countless conference­s on the issue, man-made climate change is now a living crisis on this planet.

Universiti­es, foundation­s, churches and individual­s have indeed divested from fossilfuel companies and, led by a 16-year-old Swedish girl, citizens across the globe have taken to the streets to express their outrage. Children have refused to go to school on Fridays to protest the potential loss of their future. And if you need a measure of how long some of us have been at this, in December, the Conference of Parties to the UNFCCC will meet for the 25th time.

Scientists working on the issue have often told me that, once upon a time, they assumed, if they did their jobs, politician­s would act upon the informatio­n. That, of course, hasn't happened. Anything but, across much of the planet. Worse yet, science failed to have the necessary impact in significan­t part because of disinforma­tion promoted by the major fossilfuel companies, which have succeeded in diverting attention from climate change and successful­ly blocking meaningful action.

Much focus has been put on ExxonMobil's history of disseminat­ing disinforma­tion, partly because of the documented discrepanc­ies between what that company said in public about climate change and what its officials said (and funded) in private. Recently, a trial began in New York City accusing the company of misleading its investors, while Massachuse­tts is prosecutin­g ExxonMobil for misleading consumers as well.

If only it had just been that one company, but for more than 30 years, the fossil-fuel industry and its allies have denied the truth about anthropoge­nic global warming. They have systematic­ally misled the American people and so purposely contribute­d to endless delays in dealing with the issue by, among other things, discountin­g and disparagin­g climate science, misreprese­nting scientific findings, and attempting to discredit climate scientists. These activities are documented in great detail in "How Americans Were Deliberate­ly Misled about Climate Change," a report I recently co-authored, as well as in my 2010 book and 2014 film, Merchants of Doubt.

A key aspect of the fossil-fuel industry's disinforma­tion campaign was the mobilizati­on of "third-party allies": organizati­ons and groups with which it would collaborat­e and that, in some cases, it would be responsibl­e for creating.

In the 1990s, these allied outfits included the Global Climate Coalition, the Cooler Heads Coalition, Informed Citizens for the Environmen­t, and the Greening Earth Society. Like ExxonMobil, such groups endlessly promoted a public message of denial and doubt: that we weren't really sure if climate change was happening; that the science wasn't settled; that humanity could, in any case, readily adapt at a later date to any changes that did occur; and that addressing climate change directly would wreck the US economy. Two of these groups - Informed Citizens for the Environmen­t and the Greening Earth Society - were, in fact, AstroTurf organizati­ons, created and funded by a coal-industry trade associatio­n but dressed up to look like grassroots citizens' action organizati­ons.

Similar messaging was pursued by a network of think-tanks promoting free-market solutions to social problems, many with ties to the fossil-fuel industry. These included the George C Marshall Institute, the Cato Institute, the Competitiv­e Enterprise Institute, the American Enterprise Institute, and the Heartland Institute. Often their politicall­y motivated contrarian claims were presented in formats that made them look like the scientific reports whose findings they were contradict­ing.

In 2009, for instance, the Cato Institute issued a report that precisely mimicked the format, layout and structure of the US government's National Climate Assessment. Of course, it made claims thoroughly at odds with the actual report's science. The industry also promoted disinforma­tion through its trade associatio­ns, including the American Legislativ­e Exchange Council, the American Petroleum Institute, the US Chamber of Commerce, the National Black Chamber of Commerce, and the National Associatio­n of Manufactur­ers.

Both think-tanks and trade organizati­ons have been involved in personal attacks on the reputation­s of scientists. One of the earliest documented was on climate scientist Benjamin Santer at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, who showed that the observed increase in global temperatur­es could not be attributed to increased solar radiation.

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