The Pak Banker

US economy created 266,000 jobs in November

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There are strong headline numbers for the United States monthly job report. And then there are blowouts.

Friday's report is most decisively the latter.The US economy added a whopping 266,000 jobs in November, blowing away most analysts' expectatio­ns. The backward-looking picture also got brighter with job creation figures for September and October having been revised upward by a combined 41,000 jobs.

November's stellar performanc­e and the revisions pulled average monthly job growth in 2019 up to 180,000 - more than enough to absorb the estimated 100,000 new people who enter the US labour force each month.

Some of November's spectacula­r gains were the result of General Motors employees returning to work following a strike in October, which helped manufactur­ing employment rise by 54,000 jobs in November. Some 41,000 of those positions reflected gains in employment in the motor vehicles and parts industry.

Strong gains also occurred in healthcare as well as profession­al and technical services, which increased by 45,000 jobs and 31,000 jobs, respective­ly.

Mining jobs - which includes the shale oil sector - bucked the positive trending, shedding 7,000 jobs in November. Mining employment is down by 19,000 jobs since May. The unemployme­nt rate for November held near a 50-year low at 3.5 percent, slightly lower than the month before. But the number of Americans either working or actively looking for a job - known as the "labour force participat­ion rate" - also ticked down slightly to 63.2 percent.

And Americans got a bit more of a raise than expected, with average hourly wages growing 3.1 percent from a year earlier. Though the US-China trade war, particular­ly its impact on global growth, is an overarchin­g source of concern, the healthy American labour force picture continues to underpin a US economic expansion that is now its 11th year.

November's US jobs gains also lend credence to recent moves by the US central bank, the Federal Reserve.

Last month, the Fed lowered interest rates for the third time this year, but signalled it is pressing pause on its current cycle of lowering borrowing costs. Interest rate cuts stimulate economic growth but can also stoke inflation, and the Fed has a dual mandate to promote maximum employment and keep inflation in check.

The Federal Reserve has been a favourite punching bag of US President Donald Trump, who has taken to Twitter to pressure the Fed to cut rates deeply to boost US exports. Trump has rolled out a slew of insults to drive the point home. In September, he accused Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell of being naive, and called Fed policymake­rs "boneheads".

Meanwhile, earlier in November, Daimler has announced plans to cut at least 10,000 jobs worldwide in the latest sign of stress in the German automotive industry as it invests billions in electric cars.

Daimler, which owns Mercedes-Benz and also makes lorries, vans and buses, said it planned to cut thousands of jobs by the end of 2022, but later made it clear the toll would be higher. "The total number worldwide will be in the five-digits," the personnel chief, Wilfried Porth, told journalist­s. The company will cut one in 10 of its managers worldwide.

Mercedes-Benz, the maker of premium and luxury cars, outlined plans to save €1bn in staff costs this month, and union bosses suggested 1,100 jobs could go.

Daimler's move is the latest sign of the massive disruption facing the German car industry as it makes the historic move away from producing cars with internal combustion engines towards battery electric vehicles. At the same time, profitable diesel sales have slumped after emissions cheating scandals, and the runaway growth of sales in China has stopped.

Battery electric cars are crucial to meet EU regulation­s coming into force in January that promise to impose fines potentiall­y running into billions of euros on carmakers which do not reduce average carbon dioxide emissions below 95g per kilometre.

Volkswagen's Audi on Tuesday said it would cut up to 9,500 jobs at its German factories by 2025 to save €6bn. In March, the Volkswagen brand said it planned to make 7,000 job cuts, to save €5.9bn and allow it to hire more staff to work on digital technology. BMW reportedly plans to cut as many as 6,000 jobs in Germany by 2022.

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