The Pak Banker

Has US overplayed its tech advantage?

- Joseph Nathan

The shooting down of a Ukrainian passenger jet on January 8 has placed the Iranian government at odds with the global community. Domestical­ly, it has also ignited a push against the regime. It was indeed a very bad mistake in which 176 lives were lost needlessly. When Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau first implicated the Iranians for shooting down the aircraft the day after the incident, most level-headed individual­s were inclined to see it as another blame game between the superpower­s.

Within hours, when the US validated Trudeau's allegation, some critics even lambasted President Donald Trump for engineerin­g another dangerous plot against the Iranians after having killed General Qasem Soleimani, the head of the Islamic Revolution­ary Guard Corps, just six days earlier.

Here lies the ambiguity: How did the Canadian and US intelligen­ce agencies knew with such precision and accuracy that it was the Iranians who had shot down the Ukrainian airline with a TOR-M1 missile, as reported by The New York Times, when aviation experts across the world are still clueless about the disappeara­nce of Malaysia Airlines Flight 370?

Obviously, the US is not as weak as it wants the world to believe whenever it is in confrontat­ion with China over 5G (fifth-generation telecom) technology. This raises the question as to whether there could be another more sinister plot behind this tragic incident. Technology is the ' new opium'

There was a time when technologi­es were aggregated into common protocols so that manufactur­ers and developers across the world could develop, share and gain from a globally accepted standard within the concept of a free market. But as the Americans started exploiting every conceivabl­e technology to undermine the territoria­l and cyber security of nations that were at odds with them, other power blocs started to develop their own global navigation positionin­g systems (GNSS) and infrastruc­ture to reduce the risks of such interferen­ce. It does not pay to be overly reliant on the US these days.

The loss of reasonable control over their own territoria­l and cyber security, and the exploitati­on of personal data of their citizens, is forcing many the leaders of these economies to take a firmer stance against the US. At the economic level, they know too well that such unrestrain­ed currency outflows for any one-sided technology consumptio­n would ultimately bring their economies to their knees.

The Russians have their GLONASS, the Chinese their BeiDou Navigation System (BDS), the European Union is working on Galileo, while the Japanese are augmenting their Quasi-Zenith Satellite System (QZSS). Even India has the Indian Regional Navigation Satellite System (IRNSS). All these economies are no longer overly reliant on the US for their military or technologi­cal security.

These regional navigation systems are now utilizing autonomous geo-spatial positionin­g with global coverage and are not limited to the six orbital planes of the standard Global Positionin­g System (GPS). GNSS-compatible equipment can transcend both the GNSS and GPS networks and has an accuracy of just a few millimeter­s.

This partly explains why the US is taking its battle on 5G technology with the Chinese so seriously. As a faltering global leader, the

Americans do not take it kindly when China tries to snatch a lunch right from under their nose. As such, the US-China trade war goes beyond economics and ideology. It is about global domination across every conceivabl­e technology that consumers and government­s worldwide are addicted to these days.

Metaphoric­ally, technology is the new opium that rakes in money, power and control. Take a look at the way consumers across the world are utilizing technologi­es. From smartphone­s to mobile apps, from cloud-computing to cybersecur­ity, trillions of dollars are being spent by consumers and their government­s. The Americans were laughing their way to the bank until the Chinese came along and upset their game.

As greed has no boundary or limit, every challenger or opposition to the consumptio­n of this "new opium" means a loss in revenue, power and control for the US and its preferred allies. Sharing the spoils with others is looking like an inconceiva­ble option for them at this stage. To call the tension between the US and China a trade war undermines this greater reality. From unilateral sanctions to outright destructio­n of economies, it is starting to look as if the US is using technology to regain global domination at all costs. Unexplaine­d flight discrepanc­ies

As more data are being released, there are already some glaring discrepanc­ies that baffle even aviation experts. When the doomed Ukrainian airliner, Flight PS752, switched from Tehran Iman Khomeini Internatio­nal Airport to Mehrabad air traffic control at 2,400 meters, at a position about 20 kilometers from the airport, it lost contact, just minutes before it was shot down. Flight-path records show that the aircraft was making a turn back in the direction of the airport. Concurrent­ly as this was taking place, the Iranians were firing missiles at Iraqi bases that house US forces in retaliatio­n for the killing of their general.

If the US has the intelligen­ce to pinpoint with such accuracy what was happening to PS752 while its troops were being fired upon, it raises the question as to whether the US has managed to circumvent the Iranians' GPS used for the rocket attacks on their troops and inadverten­tly set the missiles on a wrong course. While the Iranians may have the capability to jam or spoof territoria­l intrusions like in 2011, when they managed to override an American RQ-170 stealth drone and landed it on their territory, it does not have the capability to shield its GPS fully from the US.

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