The Pak Banker

Stimulus hopes, virus containmen­t steps lift world stocks

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Expectatio­ns of more central bank stimulus lifted world stocks to their highest in more than a week on Wednesday, helping investors look past a mounting coronaviru­s death toll and policymake­rs’ concerns for the disease’s economic impact.

Already, billions of dollars pumped in by Chinese authoritie­s to cushion the blow from the outbreak, along with stringent containmen­t measures, have boosting mainland China indexes more than 1% and lifted Hong Kong shares.

European shares also turned around following a lacklustre open, with a panEuropea­n benchmark up 0.6%. Wall Street futures reversed earlier losses to rise almost half a percent. MSCI’s global index rose 0.3% and was 2.3% above Monday’s six-week lows.

Traders said European stocks also rose because a Chinese TV report said a research team at Zhejiang University has found an effective drug to treat people infected with the coronaviru­s. Reuters has not confirmed the veracity of the report.

“Traders have taken the view that the situation is now more likely to be under control and hopefully the spread of the health crisis will be stemmed,” said David Madden, market analysts at CMC Markets.

The report and the stimulus expectatio­ns offset at least partly the news that the virus’s death toll had killed 500 and sickened 25,000.

China and other countries have imposed travel restrictio­ns to contain the outbreak, hurting manufactur­ing and tourism in the world’s secondlarg­est economy and across its global supply chains.

Those concerns were reflected in signals from the Bank of Japan and the Monetary Authority of Singapore that they were ready to ease policy. BOJ Deputy Governor Masazumi Wakatabe pledged not to rule out any option, including lowering already- negative interest rates.

The Singapore dollar fell to a near-four-month low after monetary authoritie­s said the currency had room to weaken to offset the effects of the virus. Markets responded by pricing in policy easing at the April meeting.

The

People’s

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China (PBOC) is also likely to lower its key lending rate on Feb. 20 and cut banks’ reserve ratios, policy sources told Reuters.

“Clearly ... all the central banks are ready to act if necessary,” said Justin Onuekwusi, a portfolio manager at Legal & General Investment Management.

“Lessons from the (2003) SARS outbreak also show the shock to the real economy tends to be temporary and markets do recover very quickly from such outbreaks,” Onuekwusi said.

The media report on the breakthrou­gh drug also boosted some of the assets that are shunned during risk-off times. The Australian dollar hit a oneweek high and the Swedish and Norwegian currencies also strengthen­ed.

Brent crude oil bounced 2% on the day as well, after losing 16% since Jan. 21 on fears the economic effects of the virus would curb demand. Crude also go support from expectatio­ns OPEC and its allies would cut output to prop up demand. On bond markets, benchmark 10-year Treasury yields rose two basis points to 1.62pc.

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