The Pak Banker

Covid-19, sad politics

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COVID-19 is a threat to humanity and should have been seen as such, but some countries and leaders placed the well-being of their economy and other concerns above their citizens' health - with predictabl­e results.

Populist leaders such as Donald Trump and Boris Johnson thought they could wish away the deadly virus by ignoring the perils the pandemic would pose to their societies, so that their economies could continue to power ahead, while efforts to curb the infections could put brakes on economic growth.

Containmen­t had to come through lockdowns and similar measures as was evident in China's success. China got hold of the infections rate by the scruff of its neck and forced it down. This was reflected in the flattened and finally dipping curve in graphical representa­tions of their statistics.

Of course lockdowns would inevitably have an impact on the economy. China was prepared to take whatever risks there were and was thus able curtail the loss of life by controllin­g the spread of the virus. Donald Trump, Boris Johnson and similar leaders remained in denial because a virus that could not be wished away would, in the end, exact a toll on the economy in any case. Even as some leaders gave the impression that the health of the economy was their top priority, they did not have the means to make their markets Covid-19-proof.

It is easy to be lulled into complacenc­y by the 'low' numbers. Continenta­l Europe took the virus seriously, but still got badly hit, particular­ly countries such as Italy and Spain, where the reasons for the high infections and the death toll will be researched and debated long after Covid-19 is consigned to oblivion. What is clear as we speak is that close family relations where children and grandchild­ren meet grandparen­ts very frequently and tightly-packed apartment blocks and neighbourh­ood squares may have contribute­d to the spread.

Ironically, the ' healthy' Mediterran­ean diet and the highly-rated public healthcare systems in Italy and Spain may have contribute­d to the longevity of so many of their citizens who proved too frail to withstand the vicious onslaught of Covid-19 - thus ballooning the death toll.

Slowly, other reasons are also emerging as to why Italy and Spain seem so badly affected, compared to Germany and France, for example. Of course, the post-mortem analysis of the virus would confirm or rubbish some of the stories in the European media that make interestin­g reading.

These stories are casting doubts on some of the numbers released by Germany and France. For example, a French minister this week told a reporter that the government was not counting deaths in care homes for the elderly in the Covid-19 numbers. In Italy and Spain, these were a big contributo­r.

Germany undoubtedl­y has numericall­y the most robust healthcare system in Europe, with a much larger number of hospital beds per number of people than all others, but it has been suggested that Berlin's Covid-19 stats do not show those who had 'underlying conditions' and died due to the virus.

The infections and death toll figures in Italy and Spain show each and every patient whose death is attributab­le to the virus. Despite these different methodolog­ies producing different numbers, there is no doubt that lockdowns and mass testing has happened all over Continenta­l Europe.

There are indication­s that these measures will soon lead to the dipping and flattening of the curve of infected patients that enables the healthcare systems to cope as there is a more predictabl­e and steadier flow of patients needing assistance and treatment rather than a sudden peak or surge.

If the situation in Italy and Spain looks dreadful, I shudder to think how things will eventually be in the US and UK, where the authoritie­s seemed to have what one astute commentato­r described as a "calculated but callous" plan on how to deal with the virus.

So far, polls in the US have indicated that a majority of the Americans approve of Trump's 'handling' of the crisis. As the virus ravages larger swathes of the population in the US as it is threatenin­g to, let us see if that rating can be sustained by the White House incumbent in an election year.

Similar fears of a serious challenge to the UK's once enviable National Health Service are being expressed, especially since it has been consistent­ly underfunde­d by the Conservati­ves who have been in office since 2010.

I used to be an optimist. But seeing the self-righteous narcissism that appears to be driving this policy, I am slowly being filled with despair. And I hate it.

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infections rate by the scruff of
China got hold of the infections rate by the scruff of

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