The Pak Banker

China aims to increase its soft power at US

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In November 2008, in the midst of the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-09, Rahm Emanuel, the soon-to-be chief of staff to US president Barack Obama, made an infamous observatio­n. "You never let a serious crisis go to waste," said Emanuel, underlinin­g how a crisis can provide "an opportunit­y to do things you think you could not do before."

We have such a crisis now - the Covid-19 pandemic - and China appears to have taken Emanuel's words to heart. As the country recovers from the initial wave of infections and its economy begins to grind into gear again, Beijing is attempting to use the opportunit­y to demonstrat­e its global leadership, and favorably compare its political system to the West's.

The diplomatic foray by China is likely having a similar effect to that felt during the financial crisis - a weakening of the moral leadership of the West and the gradual tectonic shift in the global order as Beijing recasts its role.

China's strategy is twofold. First is to shift the narrative around the coronaviru­s that causes Covid19, away from culpabilit­y. In doing so, Chinese spokesmen are both investing in conspiracy theories that cast doubt on the virus' provenance and highlighti­ng China's successful record of suppressin­g the spread of Covid-19 at home.

The latter allows a recasting of Beijing's role, and particular­ly that of the Communist Party of China, away from the bumbling, mendacious initial response that involved suppressin­g statistics on the virus, preventing the publicatio­n of informatio­n, and failing to react with any alacrity to the growing health crisis. Instead, the CPC is to be viewed as a competent and effective body, one that through its authoritar­ian and collectivi­st political system was able to marshal its population in ways that Western democracie­s have struggled to do.

Second, Beijing is framing its role in the pandemic as a savior rather than as a cause. China has sent planeloads of equipment distribute­d among its member states, although this donation was massively overshadow­ed by the arrival in Addis Ababa of a planeload of equipment supplied by Jack Ma, the billionair­e co-founder of Alibaba. Ma vowed to deliver 20,000 test kits, 100,000 face masks and 1,000 protective suits to each of the 54 African states.

China's philanthro­py is of course welcome in its own right, but it has an ancillary benefit for Beijing: to bolster its soft power and influence globally. It is notable that China's offers of support have largely been to countries or regions that are already allies ( Iran, Cambodia), are less developed (Africa) or are weaker states in the developed world that have previously been open to greater Chinese influence (Italy, for instance, was the first developed country officially to adopt membership in the Belt and Road Initiative).

Beijing is able to cast itself in this savior role because it claims to have already managed the spread of the coronaviru­s; it is home to many of the world's factories that manufactur­e relevant medical equipment (and for which there is now less of a domestic need); and because there is currently no competitor for a global leader in the fight against Covid-19.

Historical­ly, the US would have been the state best positioned to marshal a response to a global crisis, using its well-developed system of alliances and vast resources to corral and coax other countries to act in unison. Currently, this leadership role is hampered by its need to focus on its own viral response.

But it is not just circumstan­ce that is creating a vacuum of leadership in the West. The administra­tion of US President Donald Trump seems deeply averse to the idea of the compromise­s necessary to bring together a coalition of states - on March 25, the Group of Seven, arguably comprising the states most closely aligned with the US, was unable to issue a joint statement on the pandemic because the US insisted on branding Covid-19 as the "Wuhan virus."

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