The Pak Banker

Stronger Pakistan-Russia ties

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Russia's relations with Pakistan since the latter's independen­ce have been influenced by Moscow-New Delhi ties and then by the Sovietled war in Afghanista­n.

Pakistan played an important role in supporting the Afghan jihadist groups in the fight against Moscow. After the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1990, MoscowIsla­mabad relations remained stable and mutually cautious until 2010. But from then on, relations began to change, leading to the lifting of a Russian arms embargo on Pakistan in 2014, and their first joint military exercise was held in 2016.

Russia's importance Pakistan

The Pakistanis have long since been diversifyi­ng their foreign policy. They seem to have reduced the full focus of foreign policy on the United States and China and have begun their plans to connect with other countries. In addition, the Pakistanis are interested in exploiting Russia's capabiliti­es in their strategic and extensive cooperatio­n with China.

On the other hand, in recent years, the United States has preferred India to Pakistan. This along

to with tensions between Islamabad and Washington has led to widespread dissatisfa­ction in Pakistan.

Therefore, Pakistan is trying to use Russia to balance its foreign policies regarding India and the United States. Pakistan is also trying to use its relations with Russia to gain advantages over the United States by considerin­g the regional and internatio­nal confrontat­ions and rivalries.

Economic potential

The volume of RussianPak­istani trade has not grown significan­tly; in 2018 it was US$800 million. However, the two countries have plans to expand economic ties.

Pakistan has seriously taken into considerat­ion Russia's economic potential through port developmen­t and pipeline investment and energy transfer. Moscow also looks seriously at participat­ing in gas pipelines and other projects related to energy and powerplant constructi­on and electricit­y consumptio­n.

According to Islamabad, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) could be linked with the Eurasian Economic Union. It will also increase the capacity of the

Port of Gwadar to access the warm waters of the Indian Ocean and the Arabian Sea, expanding relations between Russia and Pakistan.

So far, the two countries have been simplifyin­g procedures and encouragin­g trade by establishi­ng an intergover­nmental commission on trade and economic cooperatio­n. But unlike the trade relations between Russia and India, which amount to $10 billion a year, the volume of trade is inconsiste­nt with its real potential. In fact, the current volume of trade between the two countries compared with the overall volume of Russia's foreign trade is very small.

Dealing with terrorism

The Russians are worried about the influence of extremist Salafist and ISIS-affiliated groups in Central Asia. A significan­t number of ISIS forces moved to Syria from Russia's Muslim republics. Given the fragile security and political stability of Afghanista­n and that country's socio-cultural and economic problems, some of them have since moved from Syria into areas of Pakistan and Afghanista­n. Thus cooperatio­n between Russia and Pakistan could be in line with the security interests of both sides.

It also seems that the important issue in the Russian-Pakistani interactio­n is more and more related to the developmen­ts in Afghanista­n and the actions of extremist Salafist groups and ISIS.

Pakistan is trying to take advantage of Moscow's concerns about the serious threat posed in Afghanista­n by al-Qaeda, ISIS, the Taliban and other organizati­ons, to strengthen diplomatic relations with Russia and bring Moscow in line with Islamabad's views on Afghanista­n.

Pakistan also supports Russia's intent to cooperate with the Taliban and establish unofficial relations with the group. In another dimension, Pakistan as the North Atlantic Treaty Organizati­on's most important strategic partner among nonNATO members has played an important role in meeting the logistical needs of NATO forces in the past. Therefore, the nature of Moscow's cooperatio­n with Pakistan regarding NATO's movements can be considered.

Defense and military cooperatio­n The Soviet Union and then the Russian Federation long maintained a strict policy of not selling weapons to Pakistan. The Pakistani military then became dependent on Western and Chinese military weapons, but in 2014, Pakistan and Russia finally reached an agreement on cooperatio­n in the field of defense and the purchase of military equipment.

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