The Pak Banker

Pakistan 'concerned' over rise in coronaviru­s cases: SBP

- SINGAPORE -APP

The coronaviru­s pandemic is a public health crisis and until that's addressed, difficulti­es on the economic front should be expected, Pakistan's central bank governor Reza Baqir said.

Pakistan has reported more than 213,000 cases of infection and more than 4,300 people have died.

Prime Minister Imran Khan's government lifted a two-month-long lockdown in early May, few weeks before an important festival, and as millions struggled in light of drasticall­y reduced economic activity.

The coronaviru­s pandemic is a public health crisis and until it's addressed, there will most likely be economic hardships ahead, Pakistan's central bank governor told CNBC.

Pakistan has reported more than 213,000 cases of infection and nearly 4,400 people have died.

"We are very concerned. First and foremost, this is a public health crisis - we have to remind ourselves of that," Reza Baqir said on CNBC's "Street Signs Asia".

"And, only on a secondary basis, then it becomes an economic crisis. Until the public health crisis is addressed, we should continue to expect challenges on the economic front," he added.

For countries like Pakistan, the tradeoff between lives and livelihood is a very real trade-off.

Prime Minister Imran Khan's government lifted a two-month-long lockdown in early May, a few weeks before an important festival.

As millions were struggling with starvation during that time of drasticall­y reduced economic activity, the country's Covid-19 cases surged once the lockdown was eased, Reuters reported.

At the moment, the government is targeting coronaviru­s hotspots in the country and locking those areas down.

Baqir explained that prolonged national lockdowns are a "luxury of the rich."

"For countries like Pakistan, the tradeoff between lives and livelihood is a very real trade-off," he said. The country has many day laborers who earn daily wages and lockdown would abruptly cut off their source of income. Without having a savings pool to dip into, many of those people would be looking at starvation, according to Baqir.

Policemen put barbed wire as an market area is sealed by the authoritie­s in Rawalpindi on July 1, 2020, as COVID-19 coronaviru­s cases continue to rise.

Pakistan has limited fiscal policy options to help the economy weather the coronaviru­s crisis. Considerin­g the country's relatively large public debt, excessive government spending to boost the economy will be difficult.

On the monetary policy side, Baqir said the central bank injected so far about $7 billion, or 2.5% of GDP, in terms of liquidity support to households and businesses. The central bank last week slashed its monetary policy rate by 100 basis points to 7% - State Bank of Pakistan has cut interest rates by 625 basis points since March when the coronaviru­s infection began spreading through the country. Baqir told CNBC the move was in tandem with the fall in inflation, from above 14% in January to around 8% currently.

"There is no doubt that we face grave challenges," Baqir said.

He outlined the three considerat­ions in Pakistan's response to the crisis.

First, he highlighte­d that before the virus struck, the country's economic fundamenta­ls was improving - such as bringing down its current account deficit, which was a core part of its economic problems. Second, its fiscal and monetary policies are "prudent," and finally, Pakistan is working with internatio­nal financial organizati­ons like the IMF and World Bank to keep its economy afloat.

"I think the smart lockdown strategy of locking down hot spots in cities so far is working reasonably well, and we are confident that with the combinatio­n of measures - for us on the economic side, we should come out of this crisis largely unscathed," Baqir said.

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