The Pak Banker

Dealing with the KE muddle

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Karachi is passing through one of the worst power crises in its history. People are now demanding that the KE contract either be revoked or amended so as to correct the situation.

In the minds of many people, KE has a long history of profit maximizati­on at the expense of consumers. Nepra had faced difficulty with it in making it utilize its furnace oil power plants which it has used only reluctantl­y, causing hardship to consumers. Nepra has fined it on this issue earlier too. And KE has managed to create a furnace oil issue again which Minister Omar Ayub solved through active interventi­on.

There are plans to privatize other DISCOs in the country. In addition to relieving the government from the financial burden of DISCOs, the expectatio­n is higher efficiency and service level and consumer satisfacti­on and not otherwise; unfortunat­ely, KE's performanc­e does not present a good example. What are the other options to bring about a workable solution of the KE problem other than discontinu­ing its contract as has been demanded by the general public. Let us examine what can be done in this respect.

Loadsheddi­ng in such hot and humid weather is highly painful in addition to causing economic losses of industry shutdowns. It is not a result of any accident and so cannot be condoned or ignored. It is either derelictio­n of duty on the part of the managers of KE, lack of required management skills, result of uncertaint­ies in KE or an act to force the government to accept whatever concession­s may be in the process of negotiatio­ns. It may be all of this. In most countries, utilities are fined heavily and consumers are monetarily compensate­d. In our case, Nepra does this sparingly and pockets the income itself (although for understand­able reasons).

Unlike the other DISCOs in the country, KE is a vertically integrated company meaning that it has all three functions combined - generation, transmissi­on and distributi­on. And it is independen­t and almost isolated from the country's larger NTDC system. This problem of KE has to be resolved before any improvemen­t is possible. Accepting and keeping the current status of KE is negating what the government of Pakistan has been doing with the power sector for the last more than two decades. The monolith of Wapda has been fragmented into separate organizati­ons, separating generation, transmissi­on and distributi­on functions. Separation of these functions has been accepted as the cornerston­e of energy reforms in most countries of the world. It may be wasteful to try to prove in this short space the benefits and rationale of separation of the three functions.

KE was privatized hastily in special circumstan­ces when its distributi­on losses reached an unimaginab­le level of 40 percent. The government of the time thought it appropriat­e to privatize it immediatel­y without first restructur­ing it. Special circumstan­ces have occurred again. Abraaj and its founder chairman who legally control and manage KE are under bankruptcy and facing legal charges which could lead to their liquidatio­n. This may have consequenc­es for KE and a risk that KE may go into unknown hands. However, there is an offer from Shanghai Electric for purchasing majority shares of KE and controllin­g and managing it.

The fatal mistake of not restructur­ing KE must be repeated again. The contender for the KE take-over has strong backing. The take-over deal could not go through due to receivable­s and other financial issues that could not be sorted out yet; otherwise, it would have been implemente­d a long time back. Now legal issues of liquidatio­n proceeding­s may delay it further. This gives time for the government to think through the problem and sort out its issues before handing it over to its new owners.

Karachi has a complicate­d political profile. Distributi­on companies come in close contact with pressure groups and factions which may create a very difficult situation. It is hoped that the government has adequately considered and weighed the options.

In any case, why would we need foreign investment in DISCOs (and restructur­ed KE), anyway? Profits are taken away and we are faced with a current account deficit. Local investors should be capable of handling these companies - including KE.

While the whole country has power surplus, Karachi is in deficit. At some point in time, the people of Karachi and their politician­s may bring up a political issue. Do they have rights in the resources and developmen­t of the country, the legal issues of KE's responsibi­lities apart? Political mantras can be created among common people who do not know and understand the problems and the legalities. All they know is that they are suffering under loadsheddi­ng while the country is flush with electricit­y.

However, the fact is that the government has done all that was possible. It has allocated electricit­y for KE but it cannot take it due to the lack of transmissi­on facilities that KE had to establish. KE has a vested interest in keeping itself isolated from the national grid in order to be able to install its own generation.

There are formal and informal gains in installing new projects. KE has, therefore, all kinds of generation proposals involving coal and LNG.

How are generation, transmissi­on and distributi­on to be separated? There are complicati­ons of KE's investment in generation, whatever, little it may be. And there is a special tariff formula which combines the three functions. Fortunatel­y, the arrangemen­t is ending in 2022 and by 2023 a new system may have to be negotiated. Thus, this is the right time to restructur­e KE.

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