The Pak Banker

America's Asia alliances

-

Protesters carry placards containing the image of US President Donald Trump as they try to get past antiriot police in their attempt to march towards the United States Embassy in Manila to air their disappoint­ment against the current administra­tion and the arrival of President Trump for the ASEAN Summit on Sunday, 12 November 2017.

By some assessment­s, Donald Trump aka the destroyer of America's bilateral alliances in Asia has torpedoed Washington's position in the region, leaving in his wake waves of reputation damage and mistrust.

But it's worthwhile recalling the supposed region-wide esteem in which the United States was held before Trump took office.

In early 2013, I spoke at a symposium in Tokyo about the South China Sea. Another speaker described the People's Republic of China's recent seizure of Scarboroug­h Shoal in Philippine maritime territory. The senior Philippine military officer sitting next to me said quietly and despairing­ly - to himself, "There was nothing we could do."

What he did not say, but no doubt was thinking, was: There was plenty the US could have done but hadn't. The Chinese occupied Scarboroug­h Shoal despite having promised Assistant Secretary of State for East Asia Kurt Campbell that they would withdraw their ships. Then Washington explained to Manila how the US-Philippine Defense Treaty, which the Filipinos thought applied to the situation, really didn't apply.

And then the Americans encouraged the Philippine­s to sue China at the Permanent Court of Arbitratio­n. After the court ruled overwhelmi­ngly in the Philippine­s' favor, the Barack Obama administra­tion did absolutely nothing.

In fact, Obama's national security advisor and the chief of naval operations visited Beijing soon afterward and refrained from even mentioning the PCA ruling, in hopes the Chinese would appreciate the gesture. They didn't.

US President Barack Obama speaking during a press conference following the conclusion of the G20 summit in Hangzhou, China, and at right, Philippine President

Rodrigo Duterte speaking during a press conference in Davao City. Photos: AFP/Saul Loeb and Manman Dejeto

In 2016, ahead of an Associatio­n of Southeast Asian

Nations (ASEAN) meeting that both would attend, reporters asked Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte what message he wanted to send to Obama.

Proclaimin­g, in Duterte-speak, that he would not accept a lecture from Obama about his deadly war on drug suspects, Duterte said, "You must be respectful. Do not just throw away questions and statements. Son of a whore, I will curse you in that forum."

Duterte moved his country closer to the People's Republic of China. And it wasn't just the Philippine­s.

There was also Thailand - one of America's oldest treaty allies and strongest friends in the region. In 2014, as is its wont, the Thai military staged its umpteenth coup.

The Obama administra­tion went out of its way to humiliate the Thai regime. Assistant Secretary of State for East Asia Danny Russel even traveled to Bangkok and gratuitous­ly and repeatedly insulted the Thais.

Meanwhile, Washington had no such problems with a coup in Egypt that happened a little earlier. Indeed, Obama even seemed to support it. The Thais took notice and moved closer to the PRC.

And there was more: Taiwan knew that the Obama administra­tion regarded it as an irritant to the more important US-PRC relationsh­ip, and wished the free people on Taiwan would quietly accept PRC enslavemen­t.

And by 2016 the Chinese had taken de facto control of the South China Sea - despite Xi Jinping's assurances to Obama that they would not. American retributio­n?

None. Indeed, the marching orders at Pacific Command when it came to aggressive Chinese behavior during the Obama years were to "deescalate" and give the PRC "off-ramps."

Don't think other countries didn't notice. Ah, yes, those were the good old days for US prestige in Asia.

And then Donald Trump came along and ruined everything. Before long the Japan Self Defense Forces were out and about in more places and more often than ever. Even the South Korean Navy has done joint exercises with the Japanese, American and Australian navies.

 ??  ??

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Pakistan