The Pak Banker

Fitch affirms China Bank at 'BB+'

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SINGAPORE: Fitch Ratings has affirmed the Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) of China Banking Corporatio­n (CBC) at ' BB+'. The Outlook on the IDRs is Negative, reflecting continued pressure over its Standalone Credit Profile due to the coronaviru­s pandemic. The Philippine­s' economy is taking a severe blow from the coronaviru­s pandemic, with GDP contractin­g by 9.0% in 1H20 (2019: 6.0% growth) to mark the worst deteriorat­ion in south-east Asia.

Economic conditions have worsened considerab­ly since our last review in May 2020, and will remain challengin­g despite our expectatio­n of a rebound in headline growth to 9.0% growth in 2021 from an 8.0% shrinkage in 2020. The banks' financial results in 1H20 were propped up by a debt moratorium and aggressive monetary easing by the central bank, but we believe difficulti­es lie ahead.

Social distancing measures and prolonged job market weakness for both domestic and overseas Filipino workers - are likely to continue to dampen consumer confidence and curb private consumptio­n in the near term. Extended movement restrictio­ns in the Philippine­s have also exerted pressure on business cash flows, from micro and small entreprene­urs to corporates in heavily affected sectors like aviation and tourism. The more difficult operating environmen­t will continue to pressure asset quality and earnings.

The Long-Term IDRs of CBC are driven by its Standalone Credit Profile, as indicated in its Viability Rating (VR). The ratings take into considerat­ion its status as a mid-sized bank in the Philippine­s, adequate funding and liquidity profile, capital buffers which are acceptable albeit lower than average, and longstandi­ng ties with the Chinese Filipino business community which has helped to support its loan quality. -AFP

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