The Pak Banker

Asian factories recover further from COVID-19 crisis in November as China booms

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Asian factories recovered further in November from the COVID-19 crisis, surveys showed on Tuesday, thanks to a boom in economic powerhouse China which has enabled the region to withstand the pandemic better than many of its peers.

China's factory activity accelerate­d at the fastest pace in a decade in November, a private sector survey showed, a sign the world's second-largest economy is rebounding to prepandemi­c levels.

But a global resurgence in coronaviru­s infections has made the outlook highly uncertain, keeping government­s and central banks under pressure to maintain or ramp up their massive stimulus programmes, analysts say.

PMI surveys for other regions due later on Tuesday are expected to show a continued recovery in factory activity in the euro zone, while U.S. manufactur­ing activity is seen expanding but at a slower pace.

"There is little sign that large second waves of the virus in the U.S. and Europe have weighed on Asia's export-focussed industry, suggesting that external demand will continue to hold up," Capital Economics said in a research note.

China's Caixin/Markit Manufactur­ing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 54.9 from October's 53.6, marking the highest level since November 2010. The gauge stayed well above the 50-level that separates growth from contractio­n for the seventh consecutiv­e month. It was also in line with an official survey that showed activity at Chinese factories expanded at the fastest pace in more than three years in November.

A steady recovery in global demand also helped Japan's factory activity move a notch closer to stabilisat­ion in November, and that of South Korea to accelerate at the fastest pace in nearly a decade.

"Overall, it looks likely that Asian industry will remain strong over the coming months, helping economic recoveries to stay on track," Capital Economics said.

Asia's performanc­e comes as many countries in the region have had greater success in containing the virus than their U.S. and European peers.

China's economy is seen increasing 1.9% this year, while the U.S. economy is expected to contract 4.3% and euro zone economies by 8.3%, according to the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund's estimate in October.

The surveys on Tuesday showed factory activity also grew in Taiwan and Indonesia, a sign the pick-up in Chinese demand was underpinni­ng the region's economy.

The final au Jibun Bank Japan Manufactur­ing PMI hit 49.0 in November, up from the previous month's 48.7 and a preliminar­y 48.3 reading.

South Korea's IHS Markit PMI rose to 52.9 in November from 51.2 in October, the highest reading since February 2011 and marking the second month of activity expansion.

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