The Pak Banker

Vietnam's answer to Tesla has US in its electric sights

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Move over Tesla, how about a VinFast? That's the propositio­n being offered by the automobile arm of Vietnam's largest conglomera­te, Vingroup (VIC.HM). It's betting big on the U.S. market with its VinFast line of cars and hoping that electric SUVs and a battery leasing model will be enough to woo consumers away from homegrown market leaders like Tesla (TSLA.O) and General Motors Co (GM.N).

A recent arrival on the automotive scene and the No. 5 car brand in Vietnam, VinFast is not short on ambition, with its sights set on a U.S. listing and a valuation of as much as $60 billion, according to two sources familiar with its plans. It will launch in North America and Europe in 2022, CEO Nguyen Thi Van Anh told Reuters, joining a crowded field of players seeking to compete with Elon Musk's Tesla, including a slew of loss-making upstarts fuelled by a Wall Street fundraisin­g craze. "We are going to North America - U.S., Canada - and Europe at the same time. In Europe, we're going to Germany, France and the Netherland­s," Van Anh said in an interview at the company's sprawling factory complex near the northern port of Haiphong.

Standing behind VinFast is Vingroup, Vietnam's answer to a South Korean chaebol or catch-all conglomera­te. Founded as an instant noodle business in post-Soviet Ukraine, the company's trajectory has mirrored that of Vietnam, one of Asia's fastest-growing economies, with interests spanning real estate, resorts, schools, hospitals and smartphone­s. Even with such formidable local backing, VinFast has its work cut out as industry giants such as General Motors, Toyota (7203.T) and Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) spend tens of billions of dollars to develop electric and driverless vehicles.

Founded in 2017 with a team led by former General Motors Co executives, the company is aiming to compete on vehicle size and price - pitching an electric SUV that Van Anh described as "more luxurious" than those currently on offer.

VinFast cars will also come with a battery leasing scheme that means the cost of the battery, one of the most expensive components of an electric car, will not be included in the final price.

"I'm going to give you a better product. I'm giving you an SUV. I'm giving you a more spacious car," said Van Anh, who will relocate next month from Hanoi to Los Angeles to head VinFast's U.S. operations.

According to a presentati­on prepared by the company for potential investors, VinFast cars will be cheaper compared to other electricve­hicle (EV) models.

A Tesla SUV sells for around $50,000, but Van Anh, who declined to discuss potential competitor­s, would not be drawn on how much a VinFast SUV would sell for. Two of the company's three electric models are destined for the United States, where the company is targeting annual sales of 45,000 cars, she said. There is precedent for Asian carmakers cracking the U.S. market. Toyota in the 1970s and Hyundai (005380.KS) in the 1980s overcame initial scepticism with products that eventually stole market share from U.S. manufactur­ers.

VinFast, which achieved annual sales of around 30,000 units last year in Vietnam and has yet to make a profit, faces an uphill battle.

"Their biggest challenge is convincing consumers that they have a solid product and a compelling value propositio­n," said Bill Russo, head of Shanghaiba­sed consultanc­y Automobili­ty Ltd and a former Chrysler executive. "The product itself looks to have the right appearance and features, but this will only get you in the game. Winning requires a technology or business model edge over the competitio­n."

The company is betting its battery leasing scheme where customers would pay a monthly amount roughly equivalent to what the average consumer might spend on petrol - will win over U.S. customers. When the battery, which uses cells from South Korea's Samsung SDI (006400.KS), is at 70% of its full lifespan, VinFast will replace it, Van Anh said.

A similar scheme has already been rolled out in China by Tencent-backed electric vehicle maker Nio (NIO.N), whose ES6 SUV has a starting price of around 358,000 yuan ($55,272). No EV maker can compete with Tesla in the near future, according to Michael Dunne, chief executive of automotive consulting firm ZoZo Go, pointing to the U.S. company's across-the-board strengths.

"But the good news is that companies like VinFast do not have to beat Tesla to win. All they really need to do is convert a portion of the 65 million consumers who bought gasoline-powered cars in 2020 to switch over the electrics," said Dunne.

VinFast, whose manufactur­ing facility in Vietnam has the capacity to churn out 250,000 cars a year.

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