The Pak Banker

Senegal conomic outlook becomes challengin­g: IMF

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A staff team from the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund (IMF), led by Ms. Corinne Deléchat, conducted a virtual mission from April 6-27, 2021 to undertake the third PCI review and discuss the authoritie­s' request for a combined 18-month financing arrangemen­t under the SCF and SBA.

At the conclusion of the mission, Ms. Deléchat said the IMF team has reached staff-level agreement with the Senegalese authoritie­s on economic and financial policies that could support approval of the third PCI review of thePCI and underpin an 18- month financing arrangemen­t under the SCF and SBA. Considerat­ion by the IMF's Executive Board is tentativel­y planned for early June 2021.

The new financing arrangemen­t, with a requested access of SDR 453 million (140 percent of Senegal's IMF quota, about US$ 650 million or CFAF [348] billion), will help support the authoritie­s' health crisis response and promote a broad-based recovery. It will build on the PCI's reform objectives and be carried out concurrent­ly with the current PCI.

The COVID-19 pandemic hit the Senegalese economy hard in 2020, the authoritie­s' preliminar­y estimates indicate that growth has decelerate­d to 1.5 percent compared to 4.4 percent in 2019. A record agricultur­al production and a resilient secondary sector helped avoid a recession, but the hospitalit­y, tourism, and transport sectors suffered a severe contractio­n. The pandemic containmen­t measures caused hardship for millions of workers, particular­ly those in the informal sector.

The government's forceful implementa­tion of an Economic and Social Resilience Program (PRES) with financial support from Senegal's developmen­t partners, helped strengthen health resilience and mitigate households' and firms' income losses. The authoritie­s continue to follow through on their commitment to accountabi­lity and transparen­cy in execution of the PRES and will thus publish the report of the Fonds Force COVID-19 monitoring committee and the audit of the regularity of procuremen­t contracts by end-June 2021.

"Despite these challengin­g circumstan­ces, performanc­e under the PCIsupport­ed program remained good. All end-2020 quantitati­ve targets were met, with the exception of the one pertaining to the share of single-sourced procuremen­t contracts, which exceeded the program ceiling due to the emergency COVID-19 situation.

Budget execution resulted in a deficit of 6.4 percent of GDP, in line with the program's revised target. On the structural front, six out of nine endDecembe­r reform targets were implemente­d.

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